Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 12?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 12?
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$275,944 交易量
$275,944 交易量
2026-05-12
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$275,944 交易量
$275,944 交易量
2026-05-12
25°C or below
$18,367 交易量
No
26°C
$16,771 交易量
No
27°C
$18,032 交易量
No
28°C
$56,280 交易量
Yes
29°C
$43,282 交易量
No
30°C
$24,511 交易量
No
31°C
$20,946 交易量
No
32°C
$32,042 交易量
No
33°C
$19,465 交易量
No
34°C
$14,396 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$11,853 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$275,944结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$275,944结束日期
2026-05-12市场开放时间
May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official meteorological observations from Shanghai Pudong International Airport, the market's resolving station under China Meteorological Administration protocols, recorded a peak temperature of 28°C on May 12, driving trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for that outcome as preliminary data solidified overnight. This aligns with partly cloudy conditions, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity (around 70%) that capped daytime heating after morning lows near 19°C, consistent with Shanghai's early May climatology where average highs range 24–26°C amid transitioning spring patterns. Model forecasts from NOAA and local agencies had converged on 27–29°C ranges pre-event. Realistic challenges would require a rare post hoc data revision from quality-controlled multi-station analysis, but with final reports pending confirmation today, the positioning reflects high-confidence observational evidence.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题