Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a stable high of 25°C on May 21, driven by moderate subtropical airflow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal averages near 25–27°C. Numerical weather models from regional agencies show tight agreement on this peak, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected before evening cooling sets in. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this consensus backed by real-capital trader assessment of official observation criteria. Minor revisions in late-day model runs or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, though historical verification patterns for similar May conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 21?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on May 21?
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$101,447 交易量
$101,447 交易量
2026-05-21
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$101,447 交易量
$101,447 交易量
2026-05-21
20°C or below
$1,858 交易量
No
21°C
$537 交易量
No
22°C
$659 交易量
No
23°C
$3,338 交易量
No
24°C
$20,048 交易量
No
25°C
$31,246 交易量
Yes
26°C
$16,105 交易量
No
27°C
$10,241 交易量
No
28°C
$6,388 交易量
No
29°C
$5,273 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$5,755 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a stable high of 25°C on May 21, driven by moderate subtropical airflow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal averages near 25–27°C. Numerical weather models from regional agencies show tight agreement on this peak, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected before evening cooling sets in. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this consensus backed by real-capital trader assessment of official observation criteria. Minor revisions in late-day model runs or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, though historical verification patterns for similar May conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 19, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
交易量
$101,447结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a stable high of 25°C on May 21, driven by moderate subtropical airflow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal averages near 25–27°C. Numerical weather models from regional agencies show tight agreement on this peak, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected before evening cooling sets in. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this consensus backed by real-capital trader assessment of official observation criteria. Minor revisions in late-day model runs or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, though historical verification patterns for similar May conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$101,447结束日期
2026-05-21市场开放时间
May 19, 2026, 12:35 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current meteorological forecasts for Shanghai indicate a stable high of 25°C on May 21, driven by moderate subtropical airflow and limited daytime heating under partly cloudy skies, consistent with seasonal averages near 25–27°C. Numerical weather models from regional agencies show tight agreement on this peak, with no significant warm-air advection or clear-sky amplification expected before evening cooling sets in. The market’s near-100% implied probability for 25°C reflects this consensus backed by real-capital trader assessment of official observation criteria. Minor revisions in late-day model runs or localized urban heat effects could theoretically shift the recorded maximum by 1°C, though historical verification patterns for similar May conditions make such deviations unlikely before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题