Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月23日上海气温最高？
5月23日上海气温最高？
31°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$146,661 交易量
$146,661 交易量
2026-05-23
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
是
32°C或以上
否
31°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$146,661 交易量
$146,661 交易量
2026-05-23
22°C或以下
$8,950 交易量
否
23°C
$5,107 交易量
否
24°C
$9,904 交易量
否
25°C
$9,728 交易量
否
26°C
$9,103 交易量
否
27°C
$9,753 交易量
否
28°C
$12,216 交易量
否
29°C
$15,212 交易量
否
30°C
$15,905 交易量
否
31°C
$25,387 交易量
是
32°C或以上
$25,396 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 21, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$146,661结束日期
2026-05-23市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 6:06 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$146,661结束日期
2026-05-23市场开放时间
May 21, 2026, 6:06 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Current forecasts from global and regional models indicate Shanghai will reach a daily maximum of 31°C on May 23 under subtropical high-pressure ridging, mostly clear skies, and limited precipitation, driving the market's near-certain consensus on that outcome. Ensemble runs show modest variability around this level, consistent with recent observational data favoring the upper end of May norms, where historical averages range 25–28°C. This positioning reflects the wisdom of crowds incorporating skin-in-the-game assessments of atmospheric conditions. A shift in steering patterns, unexpected cloud cover, or revised model guidance could realistically push readings to 32°C or higher before official verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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