Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 18?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$175,731 交易量
$175,731 交易量
2026-04-18
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$175,731 交易量
$175,731 交易量
2026-04-18
23°C or below
$857 交易量
No
24°C
$2,577 交易量
No
25°C
$2,770 交易量
No
26°C
$2,266 交易量
No
27°C
$10,252 交易量
No
28°C
$9,164 交易量
No
29°C
$37,367 交易量
No
30°C
$88,146 交易量
Yes
31°C
$9,529 交易量
No
32°C
$8,176 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$4,629 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
交易量
$175,731结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$175,731结束日期
2026-04-18市场开放时间
Apr 16, 2026, 12:27 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 30°C high temperature at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport on April 18, driven by real-time hourly observations peaking at 30°C mid-afternoon, corroborated by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) reports and ensemble forecast consensus from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 28–30°C maxima. Humid southwest winds and scattered cloud cover limited convective heating, aligning with climatological April norms of ~26°C highs elevated by persistent warm air advection over the Pearl River Delta. Scenarios challenging this include improbable late-day sunbreaks triggering a brief spike to 31°C+ or post hoc data quality adjustments, but with sunset approaching, official Bao'an station records lock in resolution barring anomalies. New CMA summaries expected within 24 hours will finalize positioning.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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