Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 31°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature for June 13, 2026, reflecting strong consensus across meteorological forecasts. Official and international models, including those from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather, project a daytime maximum of 31°C under typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with partly cloudy skies, isolated thundershowers, and high humidity that rarely pushes extremes higher. June climatology for the region shows average highs near 31°C, and current model runs align closely without significant deviations expected. A realistic shift away from 31°C would require an unforecasted surge in afternoon convection or thicker cloud cover that suppresses peak readings, though such changes remain low-probability given the tight agreement among guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 13?
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$117,011 交易量
$117,011 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$117,011 交易量
$117,011 交易量
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 11, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders have overwhelmingly positioned on 31°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature for June 13, 2026, reflecting strong consensus across meteorological forecasts. Official and international models, including those from the UK Met Office and BBC Weather, project a daytime maximum of 31°C under typical early-summer subtropical conditions, with partly cloudy skies, isolated thundershowers, and high humidity that rarely pushes extremes higher. June climatology for the region shows average highs near 31°C, and current model runs align closely without significant deviations expected. A realistic shift away from 31°C would require an unforecasted surge in afternoon convection or thicker cloud cover that suppresses peak readings, though such changes remain low-probability given the tight agreement among guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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