Numerical weather model consensus from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon regime points to a daily maximum of 34°C on June 5, driven by southerly flow, high humidity near 60–70 percent, and afternoon convective thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with early-June climatology of 31–33°C highs at the Bao’an station, where official observations will resolve the market. Traders assign near-certainty to 34°C because deviations require either stronger heat advection or suppressed cloud cover—conditions not supported by current ensemble runs. A realistic challenge would be a rapid model shift showing suppressed convection and peak readings reaching 35°C or higher before sunset, though the narrow remaining window makes such an outcome improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 5?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on June 5?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$144,893 交易量
$144,893 交易量
2026-06-05
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$144,893 交易量
$144,893 交易量
2026-06-05
27°C or below
$3,180 交易量
No
28°C
$2,394 交易量
No
29°C
$464 交易量
No
30°C
$1,457 交易量
No
31°C
$3,275 交易量
No
32°C
$11,749 交易量
No
33°C
$9,959 交易量
No
34°C
$33,304 交易量
Yes
35°C
$17,699 交易量
No
36°C
$24,333 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$37,079 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather model consensus from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon regime points to a daily maximum of 34°C on June 5, driven by southerly flow, high humidity near 60–70 percent, and afternoon convective thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with early-June climatology of 31–33°C highs at the Bao’an station, where official observations will resolve the market. Traders assign near-certainty to 34°C because deviations require either stronger heat advection or suppressed cloud cover—conditions not supported by current ensemble runs. A realistic challenge would be a rapid model shift showing suppressed convection and peak readings reaching 35°C or higher before sunset, though the narrow remaining window makes such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
交易量
$144,893结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
Jun 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Numerical weather model consensus from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon regime points to a daily maximum of 34°C on June 5, driven by southerly flow, high humidity near 60–70 percent, and afternoon convective thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with early-June climatology of 31–33°C highs at the Bao’an station, where official observations will resolve the market. Traders assign near-certainty to 34°C because deviations require either stronger heat advection or suppressed cloud cover—conditions not supported by current ensemble runs. A realistic challenge would be a rapid model shift showing suppressed convection and peak readings reaching 35°C or higher before sunset, though the narrow remaining window makes such an outcome improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$144,893结束日期
2026-06-05市场开放时间
Jun 3, 2026, 12:22 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Numerical weather model consensus from agencies tracking Shenzhen’s subtropical monsoon regime points to a daily maximum of 34°C on June 5, driven by southerly flow, high humidity near 60–70 percent, and afternoon convective thunderstorms that limit further warming. This aligns with early-June climatology of 31–33°C highs at the Bao’an station, where official observations will resolve the market. Traders assign near-certainty to 34°C because deviations require either stronger heat advection or suppressed cloud cover—conditions not supported by current ensemble runs. A realistic challenge would be a rapid model shift showing suppressed convection and peak readings reaching 35°C or higher before sunset, though the narrow remaining window makes such an outcome improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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