Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 20?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on May 20?
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$72,511 交易量
$72,511 交易量
2026-05-20
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
Yes
31°C or higher 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$72,511 交易量
$72,511 交易量
2026-05-20
21°C or below
$5,900 交易量
No
22°C
$65 交易量
No
23°C
$88 交易量
No
24°C
$94 交易量
No
25°C
$755 交易量
No
26°C
$5,372 交易量
No
27°C
$2,296 交易量
No
28°C
$15,665 交易量
No
29°C
$14,582 交易量
No
30°C
$15,098 交易量
No
31°C or higher
$12,596 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ET
交易量
$72,511结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$72,511结束日期
2026-05-20市场开放时间
May 18, 2026, 1:01 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent official temperature observations from Shenzhen meteorological stations, following China Meteorological Administration protocols, have confirmed a daily maximum of at least 31°C on May 20, establishing the primary driver behind the market's complete consensus on the 31°C-or-higher outcome. This reading aligns with typical late-spring warming patterns in the region, where subtropical high-pressure systems and southerly flows often produce afternoon peaks in the low 30s Celsius. Model guidance from regional forecasts showed strong agreement on these conditions days earlier, with minimal divergence in predicted highs. While post-event data audits by official agencies remain possible, historical revisions to certified daily maxima are exceedingly rare and would require documented measurement discrepancies to alter the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题