Recent short-range forecast models indicate a typical early-summer pattern for Tel Aviv on June 23, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30 °C under clear skies and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while subtle variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C across neighboring outcomes. With 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C collectively holding over 85 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing in the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour numerical weather predictions rather than any anomalous heat event. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final calibration before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 23?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 23?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,299 交易量
$39,299 交易量
2026-06-23
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$39,299 交易量
$39,299 交易量
2026-06-23
26°C or below
$329 交易量
No
27°C
$1,271 交易量
No
28°C
$2,864 交易量
No
29°C
$12,535 交易量
No
30°C
$11,067 交易量
Yes
31°C
$6,708 交易量
No
32°C
$1,668 交易量
No
33°C
$819 交易量
No
34°C
$951 交易量
No
35°C
$429 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$659 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models indicate a typical early-summer pattern for Tel Aviv on June 23, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30 °C under clear skies and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while subtle variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C across neighboring outcomes. With 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C collectively holding over 85 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing in the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour numerical weather predictions rather than any anomalous heat event. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 21, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
交易量
$39,299结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models indicate a typical early-summer pattern for Tel Aviv on June 23, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30 °C under clear skies and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while subtle variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C across neighboring outcomes. With 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C collectively holding over 85 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing in the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour numerical weather predictions rather than any anomalous heat event. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final calibration before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 23 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$39,299结束日期
2026-06-23市场开放时间
Jun 21, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Recent short-range forecast models indicate a typical early-summer pattern for Tel Aviv on June 23, with daytime maxima expected near 28–30 °C under clear skies and moderate humidity, consistent with climatological norms where June highs average 28–29 °C. Sea-breeze effects from the Mediterranean often cap afternoon peaks, while subtle variations in wind speed or cloud cover could shift the daily maximum by 1–2 °C across neighboring outcomes. With 29 °C, 30 °C, and 31 °C collectively holding over 85 % of market-implied probability, traders are pricing in the narrow uncertainty range inherent to 48-hour numerical weather predictions rather than any anomalous heat event. Updated model runs from agencies such as the Israel Meteorological Service will provide the final calibration before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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