Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,229 交易量
$77,229 交易量
2026-05-10
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$77,229 交易量
$77,229 交易量
2026-05-10
22°C or below
$3,886 交易量
No
23°C
$5,539 交易量
No
24°C
$5,624 交易量
No
25°C
$14,512 交易量
No
26°C
$10,815 交易量
No
27°C
$11,794 交易量
Yes
28°C
$6,766 交易量
No
29°C
$5,930 交易量
No
30°C
$5,508 交易量
No
31°C
$3,232 交易量
No
32°C or higher
$3,621 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$77,229结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$77,229结束日期
2026-05-10市场开放时间
May 8, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus assigns a 100% implied probability to a 27°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 10, driven by confirmed observational data from the Israel Meteorological Service (IMS), which recorded peak readings of 27°C at official stations during early afternoon under clear skies and stable high-pressure conditions. This outcome matches pre-event IMS forecasts of 15–27°C daily highs and aligns with mid-May climatological norms, where average maximums range 25–27°C amid lengthening daylight and minimal cloud cover. While post-event revisions in quality-controlled hourly data could theoretically adjust the peak—such as instrument calibration shifting it to 26°C or an overlooked late microburst pushing to 28°C—current station records and model consensus provide overwhelming scientific support, rendering challenges highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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