Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6?
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,275 交易量
$60,275 交易量
2026-05-06
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
22°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$60,275 交易量
$60,275 交易量
2026-05-06
16°C or below
$6,251 交易量
No
17°C
$532 交易量
No
18°C
$575 交易量
No
19°C
$15,926 交易量
No
20°C
$6,895 交易量
No
21°C
$8,131 交易量
No
22°C
$8,690 交易量
Yes
23°C
$5,256 交易量
No
24°C
$3,507 交易量
No
25°C
$2,228 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$2,284 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
交易量
$60,275结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$60,275结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a 22°C high temperature in Tel Aviv on May 6, 2026, driven by strong alignment across global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF with Israel Meteorological Service guidance, projecting a daytime peak near 22°C at Ben Gurion International Airport—the market's resolution source via NOAA observations. Observed morning temperatures in the mid-teens Celsius, persistent northerly cool air advection over the past 48 hours, and partly cloudy skies suppressing solar heating have locked in this unseasonably low positioning well below May climatological averages of 24-26°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected full afternoon clearing boosting insolation to nudge readings toward 23°C, though model ensembles show minimal upside risk; final hourly data finalization later today will confirm the outcome.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题