Observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's official resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 18°C reached earlier today under a cool air mass and persistent cloud cover, as reported by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Southerly winds and scattered showers have limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with JMA's latest model guidance projecting subdued maxima around 19°C but yielding lower actuals. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this observational data, with the sun setting soon minimizing upside risk. A late-day clearance of clouds could theoretically allow a brief spike, though current downward trends and historical late-afternoon patterns in similar synoptic setups make higher outcomes improbable. Final JMA tallies expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 24?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on April 24?
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$135,369 交易量
$135,369 交易量
2026-04-24
14°C or below
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
Yes
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C or higher
No
18°C 100.0%
14°C or below <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$135,369 交易量
$135,369 交易量
2026-04-24
14°C or below
$12,241 交易量
No
15°C
$13,222 交易量
No
16°C
$12,921 交易量
No
17°C
$18,599 交易量
No
18°C
$23,385 交易量
Yes
19°C
$11,639 交易量
No
20°C
$13,768 交易量
No
21°C
$8,922 交易量
No
22°C
$9,792 交易量
No
23°C
$7,046 交易量
No
24°C or higher
$3,833 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's official resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 18°C reached earlier today under a cool air mass and persistent cloud cover, as reported by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Southerly winds and scattered showers have limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with JMA's latest model guidance projecting subdued maxima around 19°C but yielding lower actuals. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this observational data, with the sun setting soon minimizing upside risk. A late-day clearance of clouds could theoretically allow a brief spike, though current downward trends and historical late-afternoon patterns in similar synoptic setups make higher outcomes improbable. Final JMA tallies expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$135,369结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's official resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 18°C reached earlier today under a cool air mass and persistent cloud cover, as reported by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Southerly winds and scattered showers have limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with JMA's latest model guidance projecting subdued maxima around 19°C but yielding lower actuals. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this observational data, with the sun setting soon minimizing upside risk. A late-day clearance of clouds could theoretically allow a brief spike, though current downward trends and historical late-afternoon patterns in similar synoptic setups make higher outcomes improbable. Final JMA tallies expected post-midnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$135,369结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 22, 2026, 12:06 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Observations at Tokyo's Haneda Airport—the market's official resolution station—confirm a peak temperature of 18°C reached earlier today under a cool air mass and persistent cloud cover, as reported by the Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Southerly winds and scattered showers have limited solar insolation and daytime heating, aligning with JMA's latest model guidance projecting subdued maxima around 19°C but yielding lower actuals. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this observational data, with the sun setting soon minimizing upside risk. A late-day clearance of clouds could theoretically allow a brief spike, though current downward trends and historical late-afternoon patterns in similar synoptic setups make higher outcomes improbable. Final JMA tallies expected post-midnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题