Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Tokyo on May 22, supported by persistent overcast skies, light precipitation, and northerly airflow that limit daytime heating. This cooler pattern deviates from typical May climatology, where highs average around 23–25°C, and reflects stable atmospheric conditions confirmed by real-time observations and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus has consolidated heavily around the 16°C outcome as the day progresses without significant warming. Brief clearing or a wind shift could allow modest rises toward 17–18°C, though official updates and final measurements will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 22?
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$144,615 交易量
$144,615 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$144,615 交易量
$144,615 交易量
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 20, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and numerical weather prediction models indicate a daily maximum near 16°C in Tokyo on May 22, supported by persistent overcast skies, light precipitation, and northerly airflow that limit daytime heating. This cooler pattern deviates from typical May climatology, where highs average around 23–25°C, and reflects stable atmospheric conditions confirmed by real-time observations and ensemble guidance. Trader consensus has consolidated heavily around the 16°C outcome as the day progresses without significant warming. Brief clearing or a wind shift could allow modest rises toward 17–18°C, though official updates and final measurements will determine resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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