Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 8°C at 3:00 PM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent mostly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 11–22 km/h, and a cool air mass suppressed daytime heating, peaking below the pre-event ECCC forecast of 9°C from hourly guidance models. Historical May norms around 17–18°C underscore the anomalously cool conditions amid early spring variability. Post-resolution, only an unprecedented data correction by the market's source, Wunderground's finalized CYYZ records, could challenge this positioning, though such revisions are rare after verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on May 2?
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$76,052 交易量
$76,052 交易量
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
8°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$76,052 交易量
$76,052 交易量
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
Yes
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 30, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Environment and Climate Change Canada (ECCC) at Toronto Pearson International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 2, 2026, reached 8°C at 3:00 PM EDT, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome on Polymarket. Persistent mostly cloudy skies, northwest winds of 11–22 km/h, and a cool air mass suppressed daytime heating, peaking below the pre-event ECCC forecast of 9°C from hourly guidance models. Historical May norms around 17–18°C underscore the anomalously cool conditions amid early spring variability. Post-resolution, only an unprecedented data correction by the market's source, Wunderground's finalized CYYZ records, could challenge this positioning, though such revisions are rare after verification.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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