Official hourly observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature peaked at 24°C around midday on May 6, solidifying 100% trader consensus as evening cools set in under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds at 10-15 mph. IMGW monitoring data and automated station readings show sustained readings below 25°C, aligning with a cooler air mass overriding earlier model forecasts of 25-26°C from INCA and synoptic projections. This positioning reflects strong evidence from verified measurements, though rare scenarios like instrument recalibration or an unreported data glitch could prompt revision; final IMGW daily bulletin expected soon will lock in the record. Typical May highs average 19°C, making today's outcome climatologically consistent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 6?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 6?
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$58,279 交易量
$58,279 交易量
2026-05-06
16°C or below
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$58,279 交易量
$58,279 交易量
2026-05-06
16°C or below
$618 交易量
No
17°C
$270 交易量
No
18°C
$304 交易量
No
19°C
$671 交易量
No
20°C
$880 交易量
No
21°C
$1,650 交易量
No
22°C
$2,289 交易量
No
23°C
$5,505 交易量
No
24°C
$17,977 交易量
Yes
25°C
$7,834 交易量
No
26°C or higher
$20,281 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature peaked at 24°C around midday on May 6, solidifying 100% trader consensus as evening cools set in under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds at 10-15 mph. IMGW monitoring data and automated station readings show sustained readings below 25°C, aligning with a cooler air mass overriding earlier model forecasts of 25-26°C from INCA and synoptic projections. This positioning reflects strong evidence from verified measurements, though rare scenarios like instrument recalibration or an unreported data glitch could prompt revision; final IMGW daily bulletin expected soon will lock in the record. Typical May highs average 19°C, making today's outcome climatologically consistent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET
交易量
$58,279结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official hourly observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature peaked at 24°C around midday on May 6, solidifying 100% trader consensus as evening cools set in under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds at 10-15 mph. IMGW monitoring data and automated station readings show sustained readings below 25°C, aligning with a cooler air mass overriding earlier model forecasts of 25-26°C from INCA and synoptic projections. This positioning reflects strong evidence from verified measurements, though rare scenarios like instrument recalibration or an unreported data glitch could prompt revision; final IMGW daily bulletin expected soon will lock in the record. Typical May highs average 19°C, making today's outcome climatologically consistent.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$58,279结束日期
2026-05-06市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 12:55 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official hourly observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport—the market's resolution source via Wunderground—confirm the highest temperature peaked at 24°C around midday on May 6, solidifying 100% trader consensus as evening cools set in under partly cloudy skies and southwest winds at 10-15 mph. IMGW monitoring data and automated station readings show sustained readings below 25°C, aligning with a cooler air mass overriding earlier model forecasts of 25-26°C from INCA and synoptic projections. This positioning reflects strong evidence from verified measurements, though rare scenarios like instrument recalibration or an unreported data glitch could prompt revision; final IMGW daily bulletin expected soon will lock in the record. Typical May highs average 19°C, making today's outcome climatologically consistent.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题