Numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF, GFS, and Polish IMGW guidance updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus highs of 18-22°C for Warsaw on May 7, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild Atlantic air masses amid typical spring warming. Current upper-level charts at 500 hPa confirm stable ridging, minimizing cooling influences despite scattered thunderstorms and 50% precipitation odds that may limit peaks slightly but not below 18°C. This aligns with Warsaw's climatological May average high of 19°C from historical observations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects short-range forecast accuracy exceeding 95% for daytime maxima; realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent overcast skies capping solar heating, though model ensembles assign <5% odds to sub-18°C outcomes ahead of final overnight advisories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 7?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 7?
18°C or higher 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$26,811 交易量
$26,811 交易量
2026-05-07
8°C or below
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C or higher
Yes
18°C or higher 100.0%
8°C or below <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$26,811 交易量
$26,811 交易量
2026-05-07
8°C or below
$590 交易量
No
9°C
$738 交易量
No
10°C
$552 交易量
No
11°C
$345 交易量
No
12°C
$595 交易量
No
13°C
$583 交易量
No
14°C
$1,994 交易量
No
15°C
$4,745 交易量
No
16°C
$4,906 交易量
No
17°C
$3,767 交易量
No
18°C or higher
$7,997 交易量
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF, GFS, and Polish IMGW guidance updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus highs of 18-22°C for Warsaw on May 7, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild Atlantic air masses amid typical spring warming. Current upper-level charts at 500 hPa confirm stable ridging, minimizing cooling influences despite scattered thunderstorms and 50% precipitation odds that may limit peaks slightly but not below 18°C. This aligns with Warsaw's climatological May average high of 19°C from historical observations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects short-range forecast accuracy exceeding 95% for daytime maxima; realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent overcast skies capping solar heating, though model ensembles assign <5% odds to sub-18°C outcomes ahead of final overnight advisories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 5, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$26,811结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF, GFS, and Polish IMGW guidance updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus highs of 18-22°C for Warsaw on May 7, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild Atlantic air masses amid typical spring warming. Current upper-level charts at 500 hPa confirm stable ridging, minimizing cooling influences despite scattered thunderstorms and 50% precipitation odds that may limit peaks slightly but not below 18°C. This aligns with Warsaw's climatological May average high of 19°C from historical observations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects short-range forecast accuracy exceeding 95% for daytime maxima; realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent overcast skies capping solar heating, though model ensembles assign <5% odds to sub-18°C outcomes ahead of final overnight advisories.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$26,811结束日期
2026-05-07市场开放时间
May 5, 2026, 12:13 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Numerical weather prediction models, including ECMWF, GFS, and Polish IMGW guidance updated within the last 24 hours, show consensus highs of 18-22°C for Warsaw on May 7, driven by a high-pressure ridge over Central Europe advecting mild Atlantic air masses amid typical spring warming. Current upper-level charts at 500 hPa confirm stable ridging, minimizing cooling influences despite scattered thunderstorms and 50% precipitation odds that may limit peaks slightly but not below 18°C. This aligns with Warsaw's climatological May average high of 19°C from historical observations. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects short-range forecast accuracy exceeding 95% for daytime maxima; realistic challenges include an unforeseen cold front surge or persistent overcast skies capping solar heating, though model ensembles assign <5% odds to sub-18°C outcomes ahead of final overnight advisories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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