Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 9?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on May 9?
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$67,824 交易量
$67,824 交易量
2026-05-09
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$67,824 交易量
$67,824 交易量
2026-05-09
9°C or below
$2,368 交易量
No
10°C
$3,217 交易量
No
11°C
$6,080 交易量
No
12°C
$10,988 交易量
No
13°C
$8,793 交易量
No
14°C
$8,823 交易量
No
15°C
$6,722 交易量
Yes
16°C
$7,354 交易量
No
17°C
$6,889 交易量
No
18°C
$3,073 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$3,517 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
交易量
$67,824结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$67,824结束日期
2026-05-09市场开放时间
May 7, 2026, 12:12 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official observations from Warsaw Chopin Airport meteorological station, the market's resolution source, confirm the highest temperature on May 9 reached 15°C in the early afternoon before stabilizing lower amid persistent overcast skies and northerly winds of 10–15 km/h, which suppressed daytime heating by limiting solar insolation. This aligns precisely with IMGW synoptic forecasts projecting 13–17°C maxima for Warsaw and ECMWF/GFS model consensus showing limited warm-air advection under a cool upper-level trough. Trader sentiment, backed by real capital, reflects 100% implied probability on 15°C due to this robust observational evidence, well below early May climatological norms of 17–19°C. Realistic challenges are minimal—only a rare post-preliminary data revision by IMGW could alter it, though METAR reports corroborate the peak.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题