**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于7月2日惠灵顿的最高温度？
7月2日惠灵顿的最高温度？
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$72,269 交易量
$72,269 交易量
2026-07-02
6°C or below
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
Yes
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C or higher
No
13°C 100.0%
6°C or below <1%
7°C <1%
8°C <1%
$72,269 交易量
$72,269 交易量
2026-07-02
6°C or below
$8,429 交易量
No
7°C
$5,339 交易量
No
8°C
$1,386 交易量
No
9°C
$2,301 交易量
No
10°C
$3,422 交易量
No
11°C
$6,484 交易量
No
12°C
$17,138 交易量
No
13°C
$14,249 交易量
Yes
14°C
$6,481 交易量
No
15°C
$4,117 交易量
No
16°C or higher
$2,925 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$72,269结束日期
2026-07-02市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$72,269结束日期
2026-07-02市场开放时间
Jun 30, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
**Short-term forecasts from MetService point to a high near 11°C on July 2 under partly cloudy skies with developing northerlies, yet trader consensus clusters on 12–13°C amid uncertainty in exact timing and strength of warmer air advection.** Wellington’s winter climatology features average July maxima of 11–12°C, with northerly winds often elevating readings by 1–2°C through reduced mixing and warmer maritime air from the Tasman Sea, while southerly shifts or increased cloud can suppress peaks. NIWA’s May–July outlook assigns roughly equal odds to near-average or below-average temperatures for the Wellington region, reflecting neutral-to-negative ENSO influences that favor cooler anomalies. Model spreads in steering patterns and boundary-layer mixing over the next 48 hours remain the key variables that could tip the daily maximum between the closely matched 12°C and 13°C outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题