Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached exactly 16°C mid-afternoon, under mild northerly winds and partial cloud cover that limited solar heating and prevented further intensification. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from MetService and NIWA models, which projected autumnal highs near the historical May average of 14–15°C amid neutral ENSO conditions lacking unusual warming drivers. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time hourly data logs showing sustained sub-17°C readings through evening, embodying the wisdom of crowds in aggregating verified meteorological evidence. A realistic challenge would require rare post-finalization data revision by monitoring agencies, though protocols deem this highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on May 1?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 1?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$112,287 交易量
$112,287 交易量
2026-05-01
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$112,287 交易量
$112,287 交易量
2026-05-01
9°C or below
$3,029 交易量
No
10°C
$318 交易量
No
11°C
$1,694 交易量
No
12°C
$7,115 交易量
No
13°C
$8,135 交易量
No
14°C
$16,802 交易量
No
15°C
$7,394 交易量
No
16°C
$25,979 交易量
Yes
17°C
$22,579 交易量
No
18°C
$10,600 交易量
No
19°C or higher
$8,641 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached exactly 16°C mid-afternoon, under mild northerly winds and partial cloud cover that limited solar heating and prevented further intensification. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from MetService and NIWA models, which projected autumnal highs near the historical May average of 14–15°C amid neutral ENSO conditions lacking unusual warming drivers. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time hourly data logs showing sustained sub-17°C readings through evening, embodying the wisdom of crowds in aggregating verified meteorological evidence. A realistic challenge would require rare post-finalization data revision by monitoring agencies, though protocols deem this highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 29, 2026, 12:25 AM ET
交易量
$112,287结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:25 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached exactly 16°C mid-afternoon, under mild northerly winds and partial cloud cover that limited solar heating and prevented further intensification. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from MetService and NIWA models, which projected autumnal highs near the historical May average of 14–15°C amid neutral ENSO conditions lacking unusual warming drivers. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time hourly data logs showing sustained sub-17°C readings through evening, embodying the wisdom of crowds in aggregating verified meteorological evidence. A realistic challenge would require rare post-finalization data revision by monitoring agencies, though protocols deem this highly improbable.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$112,287结束日期
2026-05-01市场开放时间
Apr 29, 2026, 12:25 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official MetService observations at Wellington International Airport confirm the highest temperature on May 1, 2026, reached exactly 16°C mid-afternoon, under mild northerly winds and partial cloud cover that limited solar heating and prevented further intensification. This aligns precisely with pre-event forecast consensus from MetService and NIWA models, which projected autumnal highs near the historical May average of 14–15°C amid neutral ENSO conditions lacking unusual warming drivers. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects real-time hourly data logs showing sustained sub-17°C readings through evening, embodying the wisdom of crowds in aggregating verified meteorological evidence. A realistic challenge would require rare post-finalization data revision by monitoring agencies, though protocols deem this highly improbable.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题