Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on June 15?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$60,759 交易量
$60,759 交易量
2026-06-15
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$60,759 交易量
$60,759 交易量
2026-06-15
27°C or below
$402 交易量
No
28°C
$3,984 交易量
No
29°C
$2,593 交易量
No
30°C
$3,594 交易量
No
31°C
$4,079 交易量
No
32°C
$11,323 交易量
No
33°C
$9,661 交易量
No
34°C
$11,900 交易量
Yes
35°C
$8,734 交易量
No
36°C
$1,966 交易量
No
37°C or higher
$2,521 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
交易量
$60,759结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$60,759结束日期
2026-06-15市场开放时间
Jun 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Converging forecasts from major models, including ECMWF and CMA runs, have locked in a 34°C peak for Wuhan on June 15 under stable high-pressure conditions with minimal cloud cover and light winds, driving the market's 100% consensus on that exact threshold. This aligns with mid-June climatology in the Yangtze River valley, where afternoon heating often pushes maxima 2–4°C above the 31°C seasonal average when subsidence dominates. Official monitoring by Chinese meteorological agencies will record the daily maximum from standardized stations, with little room for deviation given the tight model agreement observed in recent updates. Only an unexpected late-day thunderstorm or rapid advection of cooler air could realistically alter the outcome, though current observations show negligible risk of either.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题