Weather model consensus from authoritative sources has converged on a daily maximum of exactly 33°C in Wuhan for June 17, with sunny intervals, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically climb above 30°C amid strengthening solar insolation ahead of the summer monsoon. Short-range numerical weather prediction runs show tight agreement around this value, leaving little room for deviation within observational uncertainty. The sole realistic challenge would involve an unforecasted increase in cloudiness or localized precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily resolution window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日武汉气温最高?
33°C 100.0%
28℃及以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,616 交易量
$50,616 交易量
28℃及以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
33°C 100.0%
28℃及以下 <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$50,616 交易量
$50,616 交易量
28℃及以下
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C
否
38°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Weather model consensus from authoritative sources has converged on a daily maximum of exactly 33°C in Wuhan for June 17, with sunny intervals, light easterly winds, and minimal cloud cover supporting strong daytime heating. This aligns with mid-June climatology for the region, where highs typically climb above 30°C amid strengthening solar insolation ahead of the summer monsoon. Short-range numerical weather prediction runs show tight agreement around this value, leaving little room for deviation within observational uncertainty. The sole realistic challenge would involve an unforecasted increase in cloudiness or localized precipitation suppressing the peak by 1–2°C, though current guidance assigns low probability to such shifts before the daily resolution window closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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