Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C in Wuhan on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This pattern limits strong surface heating while allowing sufficient insolation for typical early-summer warming in the Yangtze River valley’s humid subtropical climate. Model consensus shows no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky conditions that would push readings above 31°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (44%) followed by 30°C and 28°C. Latest observational trends and short-range guidance reinforce this narrow range, with only modest uncertainty from possible afternoon convection that could cap the peak slightly lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日武汉气温最高?
30°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$84,091 交易量
$84,091 交易量
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或更高
否
30°C 100.0%
27°C或以下 <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$84,091 交易量
$84,091 交易量
27°C或以下
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C
否
37°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Recent forecasts from sources including the BBC and AccuWeather indicate a daytime maximum near 29–30°C in Wuhan on June 18 under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow. This pattern limits strong surface heating while allowing sufficient insolation for typical early-summer warming in the Yangtze River valley’s humid subtropical climate. Model consensus shows no anomalous heat advection or clear-sky conditions that would push readings above 31°C, consistent with the market’s heavy weighting toward 29°C (44%) followed by 30°C and 28°C. Latest observational trends and short-range guidance reinforce this narrow range, with only modest uncertainty from possible afternoon convection that could cap the peak slightly lower.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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