Current observational data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological stations show midday temperatures reaching 28°C under partly cloudy skies and humid conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting a daily high of 31°C. This trajectory, combined with stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation risk, drives the market-implied 100% probability for 31°C, reflecting trader consensus on skin-in-the-game data amid May's typical warming trend where highs average 27–28°C but fluctuate. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or increased cloud cover in the afternoon, potentially capping the peak at 30°C; official China Meteorological Administration readings will finalize resolution by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 11?
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,064 交易量
$46,064 交易量
2026-05-11
24°C or below
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
Yes
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C or higher
No
31°C 100.0%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$46,064 交易量
$46,064 交易量
2026-05-11
24°C or below
$2,367 交易量
No
25°C
$1,355 交易量
No
26°C
$2,621 交易量
No
27°C
$627 交易量
No
28°C
$6,743 交易量
No
29°C
$6,286 交易量
No
30°C
$4,647 交易量
No
31°C
$5,410 交易量
Yes
32°C
$6,384 交易量
No
33°C
$6,026 交易量
No
34°C or higher
$3,599 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observational data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological stations show midday temperatures reaching 28°C under partly cloudy skies and humid conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting a daily high of 31°C. This trajectory, combined with stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation risk, drives the market-implied 100% probability for 31°C, reflecting trader consensus on skin-in-the-game data amid May's typical warming trend where highs average 27–28°C but fluctuate. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or increased cloud cover in the afternoon, potentially capping the peak at 30°C; official China Meteorological Administration readings will finalize resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 9, 2026, 4:54 AM ET
交易量
$46,064结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 4:54 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current observational data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological stations show midday temperatures reaching 28°C under partly cloudy skies and humid conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting a daily high of 31°C. This trajectory, combined with stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation risk, drives the market-implied 100% probability for 31°C, reflecting trader consensus on skin-in-the-game data amid May's typical warming trend where highs average 27–28°C but fluctuate. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or increased cloud cover in the afternoon, potentially capping the peak at 30°C; official China Meteorological Administration readings will finalize resolution by day's end.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$46,064结束日期
2026-05-11市场开放时间
May 9, 2026, 4:54 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current observational data from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport meteorological stations show midday temperatures reaching 28°C under partly cloudy skies and humid conditions with light southerly winds, aligning with forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting a daily high of 31°C. This trajectory, combined with stable high-pressure influence and minimal precipitation risk, drives the market-implied 100% probability for 31°C, reflecting trader consensus on skin-in-the-game data amid May's typical warming trend where highs average 27–28°C but fluctuate. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected convective showers or increased cloud cover in the afternoon, potentially capping the peak at 30°C; official China Meteorological Administration readings will finalize resolution by day's end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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