Current forecasts from official monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature of 25°C in Wuhan today, driven by stable atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds that limit afternoon warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds, where traders have converged on 25°C as the resolution outcome based on recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this value. Historical May averages hover near 26–28°C, yet localized steering patterns and cloud cover today have kept readings on track for the lower threshold. Any shift would require unexpected intensification from changing pressure gradients or revised observational data from the China Meteorological Administration before market close, though such revisions remain unlikely given the narrow forecast envelope.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 20?
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$28,107 交易量
$28,107 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
21°C or below <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$28,107 交易量
$28,107 交易量
21°C or below
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 18, 2026, 12:42 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Current forecasts from official monitoring agencies indicate a daily maximum temperature of 25°C in Wuhan today, driven by stable atmospheric conditions with moderate humidity and light winds that limit afternoon warming. This aligns with the market-implied odds, where traders have converged on 25°C as the resolution outcome based on recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this value. Historical May averages hover near 26–28°C, yet localized steering patterns and cloud cover today have kept readings on track for the lower threshold. Any shift would require unexpected intensification from changing pressure gradients or revised observational data from the China Meteorological Administration before market close, though such revisions remain unlikely given the narrow forecast envelope.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题