Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 3?
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,749 交易量
$77,749 交易量
2026-05-03
19°C or below
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
19°C or below <1%
20°C <1%
21°C <1%
$77,749 交易量
$77,749 交易量
2026-05-03
19°C or below
$2,412 交易量
No
20°C
$4,072 交易量
No
21°C
$4,488 交易量
No
22°C
$4,209 交易量
No
23°C
$5,322 交易量
No
24°C
$3,644 交易量
No
25°C
$30,716 交易量
No
26°C
$6,775 交易量
Yes
27°C
$7,503 交易量
No
28°C
$5,063 交易量
No
29°C or higher
$3,546 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
交易量
$77,749结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$77,749结束日期
2026-05-03市场开放时间
May 1, 2026, 12:38 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in 26°C as the highest temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH) on May 3, 2026, at 100% implied probability, driven by official observational data from the station's automated weather reports and METAR readings peaking at 25-26°C during afternoon hours under partly cloudy skies with light winds and low humidity. This aligns with pre-dawn forecast model consensus from China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles predicting mid-20s°C highs, constrained by overcast conditions limiting solar insolation amid seasonal norms for early May (historical average ~26°C). Scenarios challenging this include rare post-day data revisions from quality control or sensor recalibration, though such adjustments occur in under 1% of cases; final Wunderground history confirmation expected soon after midnight local time.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题