Trader consensus has overwhelmingly converged on a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport— the market's official resolution source—reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and daytime peaks of 29–30°C on May 5. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions enabling standard diurnal heating, corroborated by aligned ECMWF and GFS model outputs predicting no significant convective interference or cold air intrusion. Current METAR observations confirm temperatures approaching 28°C midday, with climatological May norms around 27°C but this day's ridge amplifying warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 30°C, though low probability given 24-hour trend stability; monitor hourly airport data for final confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 5?
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$86,361 交易量
$86,361 交易量
2026-05-05
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$86,361 交易量
$86,361 交易量
2026-05-05
23°C or below
$618 交易量
No
24°C
$2,561 交易量
No
25°C
$3,034 交易量
No
26°C
$4,795 交易量
No
27°C
$4,934 交易量
No
28°C
$4,165 交易量
No
29°C
$14,092 交易量
No
30°C
$15,340 交易量
Yes
31°C
$11,851 交易量
No
32°C
$12,337 交易量
No
33°C or higher
$12,635 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has overwhelmingly converged on a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport— the market's official resolution source—reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and daytime peaks of 29–30°C on May 5. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions enabling standard diurnal heating, corroborated by aligned ECMWF and GFS model outputs predicting no significant convective interference or cold air intrusion. Current METAR observations confirm temperatures approaching 28°C midday, with climatological May norms around 27°C but this day's ridge amplifying warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 30°C, though low probability given 24-hour trend stability; monitor hourly airport data for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
交易量
$86,361结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has overwhelmingly converged on a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport— the market's official resolution source—reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and daytime peaks of 29–30°C on May 5. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions enabling standard diurnal heating, corroborated by aligned ECMWF and GFS model outputs predicting no significant convective interference or cold air intrusion. Current METAR observations confirm temperatures approaching 28°C midday, with climatological May norms around 27°C but this day's ridge amplifying warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 30°C, though low probability given 24-hour trend stability; monitor hourly airport data for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$86,361结束日期
2026-05-05市场开放时间
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus has overwhelmingly converged on a 30°C high temperature at Wuhan Tianhe International Airport— the market's official resolution source—reflecting China Meteorological Administration forecasts showing clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds and daytime peaks of 29–30°C on May 5. This positioning stems from stable high-pressure conditions enabling standard diurnal heating, corroborated by aligned ECMWF and GFS model outputs predicting no significant convective interference or cold air intrusion. Current METAR observations confirm temperatures approaching 28°C midday, with climatological May norms around 27°C but this day's ridge amplifying warmth. Realistic challenges include sudden cloud cover or northerly gusts capping peaks below 30°C, though low probability given 24-hour trend stability; monitor hourly airport data for final confirmation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题