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政治·匈牙利选举

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

Market icon
政治·匈牙利选举

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?

$10,779 交易量

Apr 12, 2026
Polymarket

$10,779 交易量

Polymarket
Market icon

Mi Hazánk

$7,863 交易量

79%

Market icon

DK

$2,005 交易量

6%

Market icon

MKKP

$911 交易量

5%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election market hinges on the mixed electoral system combining 106 single-member districts with 93 proportional seats, where parties need at least 5% of the national list vote (10% for multi-party alliances) to secure list seats alongside any district wins. Recent polls show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party surging to 30-35%, challenging Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP at 35-40%, driven by Tisza's strong June 2024 EU Parliament win (30%) and large Budapest rallies amid economic pressures, inflation, and partial EU fund releases after rule-of-law concessions. Democratic Coalition polls at 10-12% for likely entry, while Momentum, LMP, and Mi Hazánk teeter near the threshold. Traders eye opposition unification and Fidesz turnout in battleground districts, with no snap election announced.

Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election market hinges on the mixed electoral system combining 106 single-member districts with 93 proportional seats, where parties need at least 5% of the national list vote (10% for multi-party alliances) to secure list seats alongside any district wins. Recent polls show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party surging to 30-35%, challenging Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP at 35-40%, driven by Tisza's strong June 2024 EU Parliament win (30%) and large Budapest rallies amid economic pressures, inflation, and partial EU fund releases after rule-of-law concessions. Democratic Coalition polls at 10-12% for likely entry, while Momentum, LMP, and Mi Hazánk teeter near the threshold. Traders eye opposition unification and Fidesz turnout in battleground districts, with no snap election announced.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election market hinges on the mixed electoral system combining 106 single-member districts with 93 proportional seats, where parties need at least 5% of the national list vote (10% for multi-party alliances) to secure list seats alongside any district wins. Recent polls show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party surging to 30-35%, challenging Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP at 35-40%, driven by Tisza's strong June 2024 EU Parliament win (30%) and large Budapest rallies amid economic pressures, inflation, and partial EU fund releases after rule-of-law concessions. Democratic Coalition polls at 10-12% for likely entry, while Momentum, LMP, and Mi Hazánk teeter near the threshold. Traders eye opposition unification and Fidesz turnout in battleground districts, with no snap election announced.

Hungary's 2026 parliamentary election market hinges on the mixed electoral system combining 106 single-member districts with 93 proportional seats, where parties need at least 5% of the national list vote (10% for multi-party alliances) to secure list seats alongside any district wins. Recent polls show Péter Magyar's Tisza Party surging to 30-35%, challenging Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP at 35-40%, driven by Tisza's strong June 2024 EU Parliament win (30%) and large Budapest rallies amid economic pressures, inflation, and partial EU fund releases after rule-of-law concessions. Democratic Coalition polls at 10-12% for likely entry, while Momentum, LMP, and Mi Hazánk teeter near the threshold. Traders eye opposition unification and Fidesz turnout in battleground districts, with no snap election announced.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Mi Hazánk"，概率为 79%，其次是"DK"，概率为 6%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 79¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 79%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"已产生 $10.8K 的总交易量（自Mar 23, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"的当前领先者是"Mi Hazánk"，概率为 79%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 79%。紧随其后的结果是"DK"，概率为 6%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Hungary Parliamentary Election: Which Parties Enter Parliament?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。