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匈牙利议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?

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匈牙利议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?

$398,033 交易量

2026-04-12
Polymarket

$398,033 交易量

Polymarket
我们的祖国运动(Mi Hazánk)会在下次匈牙利议会选举中至少赢得一个席位吗? icon

我们的祖国

$294,540 交易量

99%

在下一届匈牙利议会选举中,民主联盟(DK)会赢得至少一个席位吗? icon

民主联盟(DK)

$68,872 交易量

<1%

匈牙利两尾狗党(Magyar Kétfarkú Kutya Párt,MKKP)会在下次匈牙利议会选举中赢得至少一个席位吗? icon

MKKP

$34,621 交易量

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, 2026, saw record 77.8% turnout amid Péter Magyar's Tisza party surging to a supermajority of approximately 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly, ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP's 16-year rule after Orbán conceded defeat. Fidesz secured around 55 seats, while far-right Mi Hazánk gained 7, crossing the 5% national list threshold for single parties or 10% for alliances. Left-leaning DK and others like MKKP fell below, gaining no list seats despite some district wins. Traders await final certification by the National Election Office, expected soon, to resolve which parties officially enter parliament based on validated vote shares and seat allocations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$398,033
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Hungary's parliamentary election on April 12, 2026, saw record 77.8% turnout amid Péter Magyar's Tisza party surging to a supermajority of approximately 138 seats in the 199-seat National Assembly, ending Viktor Orbán's Fidesz-KDNP's 16-year rule after Orbán conceded defeat. Fidesz secured around 55 seats, while far-right Mi Hazánk gained 7, crossing the 5% national list threshold for single parties or 10% for alliances. Left-leaning DK and others like MKKP fell below, gaining no list seats despite some district wins. Traders await final certification by the National Election Office, expected soon, to resolve which parties officially enter parliament based on validated vote shares and seat allocations.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
交易量
$398,033
结束日期
2026-04-12
市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 11:51 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).

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常见问题

"匈牙利议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"我们的祖国",概率为 99%,其次是"民主联盟(DK)",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 99¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 99%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"匈牙利议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?"已产生 $398K 的总交易量(自Mar 23, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"匈牙利议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"匈牙利议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?"的当前领先者是"我们的祖国",概率为 99%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 99%。紧随其后的结果是"民主联盟(DK)",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"匈牙利议会选举:哪些政党进入议会?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。