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政治·特朗普

凯文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）被确认为美联储主席...... ？

Market icon
政治·特朗普

凯文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）被确认为美联储主席...... ？

$313,512 交易量

May 15, 2026
Polymarket

$313,512 交易量

Polymarket

5月1日

$227,374 交易量

38%

5月15日

$86,138 交易量

83%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$313,512
结束日期
May 15, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 12:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Chair of the Federal Reserve by May 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If Kevin Warsh is formally nominated for the role, and his nomination is then formally withdrawn, or if the Senate rejects the nomination, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The Senate must confirm this nominee as Chair of the Federal Reserve for this market to resolve to "Yes". Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count toward a "Yes" resolution. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the U.S. Senate; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"凯文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）被确认为美联储主席...... ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"5月15日"，概率为 83%，其次是"5月1日"，概率为 38%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 83¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 83%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"凯文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）被确认为美联储主席...... ？"已产生 $313.5K 的总交易量（自Jan 30, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"凯文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）被确认为美联储主席...... ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"凯文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）被确认为美联储主席...... ？"的当前领先者是"5月15日"，概率为 83%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 83%。紧随其后的结果是"5月1日"，概率为 38%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"凯文·沃什（ Kevin Warsh ）被确认为美联储主席...... ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。