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icon for KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?

KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?

icon for KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?

KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?

70% 概率
Polymarket
最新

70% 概率
Polymarket
最新
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong semiconductor earnings growth fueled by AI-driven memory demand, particularly for high-bandwidth chips from Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, underpins the 69.5% market-implied odds that the KOSPI will set a new all-time high above its June 2026 peak near 9,385 before 2028. The index currently trades around 7,034 after a sharp correction from earlier 2026 highs, yet forward price-to-earnings ratios near 5.3x remain well below historical averages while analysts project 2026 earnings growth exceeding 300% and sustained supply shortages into 2028. Institutional buying and long-term supply agreements with hyperscalers have offset recent foreign outflows amid elevated oil prices and Treasury yields near 4.8%. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming corporate earnings, potential Bank of Korea policy shifts, and further AI infrastructure spending announcements that could accelerate re-rating toward targets like 12,000.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify.

Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.

The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,392
结束日期
2027-12-31
市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Strong semiconductor earnings growth fueled by AI-driven memory demand, particularly for high-bandwidth chips from Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, underpins the 69.5% market-implied odds that the KOSPI will set a new all-time high above its June 2026 peak near 9,385 before 2028. The index currently trades around 7,034 after a sharp correction from earlier 2026 highs, yet forward price-to-earnings ratios near 5.3x remain well below historical averages while analysts project 2026 earnings growth exceeding 300% and sustained supply shortages into 2028. Institutional buying and long-term supply agreements with hyperscalers have offset recent foreign outflows amid elevated oil prices and Treasury yields near 4.8%. Key near-term catalysts include upcoming corporate earnings, potential Bank of Korea policy shifts, and further AI infrastructure spending announcements that could accelerate re-rating toward targets like 12,000.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify.

Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding.

The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the KOSPI (Korea Composite Stock Price Index) records an intraday or close value above 9,385.59 — its official all-time intraday high as published by the Korea Exchange, set on June 19, 2026 — at any point between the creation of this market and December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM KST. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only index values recorded during the regular trading session of the Korea Exchange will be considered. Values implied by futures, ETFs, options, or other derivative instruments will not qualify. Index values will be used exactly as published, without rounding. The primary resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EKS11/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$3,392
结束日期
2028-01-01
市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 3:08 PM ET

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"KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"KOSPI会在2028年前创下历史新高吗?",概率为 70%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 70¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 70%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Sep 7, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"KOSPI在2028年之前创下历史新高?"的当前领先者是"KOSPI会在2028年前创下历史新高吗?",概率为 70%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 70%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

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