**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Dallas on August 24, 2026, centers on the 86-87°F bin (58% implied probability) because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models consistently project overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 80s under persistent high-pressure conditions.** Clear skies, southerly to southwesterly winds of 5–10 mph (with gusts to 20 mph), and dew points around 15–18°C (59–64°F) will limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show highs near 107–108°F on the 24th with virtually no precipitation (chance <5%), maintaining the heat dome that has produced daily lows in the low-to-mid 80s throughout late August. This setup aligns with the market’s second-leading bin (88–89°F at 30.5%) while rendering sub-85°F outcomes unlikely absent an unexpected shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover. The market-implied odds therefore aggregate trader assessment of these stable synoptic conditions and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range NWS and ensemble guidance one day ahead of the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月24日达拉斯最低温度？
8月24日达拉斯最低温度？
86-87°F 61%
98°F或更高 34%
88-89°F 34%
79°F或以下 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
79°F或以下
28%
80-81°F
18%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
25%
86-87°F
61%
88-89°F
34%
90-91°F
18%
92-93°F
15%
94-95°F
2%
96-97°F
14%
98°F或更高
34%
86-87°F 61%
98°F或更高 34%
88-89°F 34%
79°F或以下 28%
最新
最新
2026-08-24
79°F或以下
$25 交易量
28%
80-81°F
$5 交易量
18%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
26%
84-85°F
$6 交易量
25%
86-87°F
$0 交易量
61%
88-89°F
$0 交易量
34%
90-91°F
$0 交易量
18%
92-93°F
$55 交易量
15%
94-95°F
$5 交易量
2%
96-97°F
$10 交易量
14%
98°F或更高
$185 交易量
34%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Dallas on August 24, 2026, centers on the 86-87°F bin (58% implied probability) because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models consistently project overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 80s under persistent high-pressure conditions.**
Clear skies, southerly to southwesterly winds of 5–10 mph (with gusts to 20 mph), and dew points around 15–18°C (59–64°F) will limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show highs near 107–108°F on the 24th with virtually no precipitation (chance <5%), maintaining the heat dome that has produced daily lows in the low-to-mid 80s throughout late August. This setup aligns with the market’s second-leading bin (88–89°F at 30.5%) while rendering sub-85°F outcomes unlikely absent an unexpected shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover.
The market-implied odds therefore aggregate trader assessment of these stable synoptic conditions and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range NWS and ensemble guidance one day ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
交易量
$291结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Dallas on August 24, 2026, centers on the 86-87°F bin (58% implied probability) because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models consistently project overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 80s under persistent high-pressure conditions.**
Clear skies, southerly to southwesterly winds of 5–10 mph (with gusts to 20 mph), and dew points around 15–18°C (59–64°F) will limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show highs near 107–108°F on the 24th with virtually no precipitation (chance <5%), maintaining the heat dome that has produced daily lows in the low-to-mid 80s throughout late August. This setup aligns with the market’s second-leading bin (88–89°F at 30.5%) while rendering sub-85°F outcomes unlikely absent an unexpected shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover.
The market-implied odds therefore aggregate trader assessment of these stable synoptic conditions and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range NWS and ensemble guidance one day ahead of the event.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$291结束日期
2026-08-24市场开放时间
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Dallas on August 24, 2026, centers on the 86-87°F bin (58% implied probability) because official forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models consistently project overnight lows in the lower-to-mid 80s under persistent high-pressure conditions.** Clear skies, southerly to southwesterly winds of 5–10 mph (with gusts to 20 mph), and dew points around 15–18°C (59–64°F) will limit radiational cooling, keeping minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs show highs near 107–108°F on the 24th with virtually no precipitation (chance <5%), maintaining the heat dome that has produced daily lows in the low-to-mid 80s throughout late August. This setup aligns with the market’s second-leading bin (88–89°F at 30.5%) while rendering sub-85°F outcomes unlikely absent an unexpected shift in steering flow or increased cloud cover. The market-implied odds therefore aggregate trader assessment of these stable synoptic conditions and the narrow uncertainty range typical of short-range NWS and ensemble guidance one day ahead of the event.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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