Official National Weather Service observations from the Miami International Airport (KMIA) automated surface observing system confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, fell within 74-75°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast models projecting overnight minima near 73°F amid southerly winds, dewpoints in the mid-70s°F, and partial cloud cover that curtailed radiative cooling overnight. Early May climatology at KMIA supports such readings, with average lows around 73°F and historical May 9 minima rarely dipping below 71°F due to South Florida's maritime influence and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from verified ASOS records, with final quality-controlled reports expected soon from the Local Climatological Data program.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月9日迈阿密最低气温?
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$44,064 交易量
$44,064 交易量
71°F或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90°F或更高
否
74-75°F 100.0%
71°F或以下 <1%
72-73°F <1%
76-77°F <1%
$44,064 交易量
$44,064 交易量
71°F或以下
否
72-73°F
否
74-75°F
是
76-77°F
否
78-79°F
否
80-81°F
否
82-83°F
否
84-85°F
否
86-87°F
否
88-89°F
否
90°F或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: May 7, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Official National Weather Service observations from the Miami International Airport (KMIA) automated surface observing system confirm the lowest temperature on May 9, 2026, fell within 74-75°F, driving trader consensus to a near-certain 100% implied probability for this outcome. This aligns precisely with pre-event NOAA forecast models projecting overnight minima near 73°F amid southerly winds, dewpoints in the mid-70s°F, and partial cloud cover that curtailed radiative cooling overnight. Early May climatology at KMIA supports such readings, with average lows around 73°F and historical May 9 minima rarely dipping below 71°F due to South Florida's maritime influence and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges would require rare data revisions from verified ASOS records, with final quality-controlled reports expected soon from the Local Climatological Data program.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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