Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于5月4日纽约市最低气温？
5月4日纽约市最低气温？
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F或更低 <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$47,808 交易量
$47,808 交易量
2026-05-04
43°F或更低
否
44-45°F
否
46-47°F
否
48-49°F
否
50-51°F
否
52-53°F
是
54-55°F
否
56-57°F
否
58-59°F
否
60-61°F
否
62°F或更高
否
52-53°F 100.0%
43°F或更低 <1%
44-45°F <1%
46-47°F <1%
$47,808 交易量
$47,808 交易量
2026-05-04
43°F或更低
$8,008 交易量
否
44-45°F
$2,377 交易量
否
46-47°F
$3,629 交易量
否
48-49°F
$3,079 交易量
否
50-51°F
$1,858 交易量
否
52-53°F
$17,360 交易量
是
54-55°F
$2,162 交易量
否
56-57°F
$2,660 交易量
否
58-59°F
$936 交易量
否
60-61°F
$629 交易量
否
62°F或更高
$5,111 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
交易量
$47,808结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$47,808结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
May 2, 2026, 12:01 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus has locked in at 100% probability for a lowest temperature of 52-53°F in New York City on May 4, 2026, driven by official National Weather Service observations from the Central Park ASOS station (KNYC), which recorded a minimum of 52°F during early morning hours. This measurement, captured via automated surface observing system protocols, aligns with preliminary hourly data showing temperatures dipping to 51-52°F around 5 AM amid clear skies and light winds that limited radiative cooling. For early May, this mild low exceeds the climatological average of around 50°F, consistent with persistent southerly flow and urban heat island effects. Realistic challenges are minimal post-observation, though a formal NWS audit could theoretically revise data if equipment anomalies are detected—unlikely given data consistency across nearby stations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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