Traders have converged on 16°C as the lowest temperature in Paris on June 2, driven by the latest forecast runs from European meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical June averages place minimums around 13°C, yet current atmospheric patterns, including warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, support this elevated reading according to official guidance. Resolution hinges on verified observations from Paris stations, with minimal model spread reducing uncertainty. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or localized measurement discrepancies at official sites could still shift the outcome, though such developments appear unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Lowest temperature in Paris on June 2?
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$24,338 交易量
$24,338 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$24,338 交易量
$24,338 交易量
9°C or below
No
10°C
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: May 31, 2026, 12:41 AM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Traders have converged on 16°C as the lowest temperature in Paris on June 2, driven by the latest forecast runs from European meteorological models showing overnight lows stabilizing near that level under stable high-pressure conditions. Historical June averages place minimums around 13°C, yet current atmospheric patterns, including warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic, support this elevated reading according to official guidance. Resolution hinges on verified observations from Paris stations, with minimal model spread reducing uncertainty. A sudden influx of cooler maritime air or localized measurement discrepancies at official sites could still shift the outcome, though such developments appear unlikely before the daily minimum is recorded.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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