**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %). Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月25日巴黎最低气温？
6月25日巴黎最低气温？
25°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,810 交易量
$17,810 交易量
2026-06-25
22°C或以下
否
23°C
否
24°C
否
25°C
是
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C或更高
否
25°C 100.0%
22°C或以下 <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$17,810 交易量
$17,810 交易量
2026-06-25
22°C或以下
$1,040 交易量
否
23°C
$673 交易量
否
24°C
$3,010 交易量
否
25°C
$4,626 交易量
是
26°C
$3,301 交易量
否
27°C
$1,778 交易量
否
28°C
$1,195 交易量
否
29°C
$896 交易量
否
30°C
$489 交易量
否
31°C
$347 交易量
否
32°C或更高
$453 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %).
Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$17,810结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %).
Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$17,810结束日期
2026-06-25市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
**A persistent early summer heatwave across northern France is anchoring trader expectations for Paris's June 25 overnight low near 24–25 °C.** Recent model guidance and Météo-France analyses show a strong high-pressure ridge maintaining clear skies, light winds, and advection of warm subtropical air, which limits radiative cooling and keeps minimum temperatures elevated well above seasonal normals of roughly 14–16 °C. Ensemble forecasts cluster around 24–26 °C for the urban heat-island-adjusted minimum, producing the tight spread visible in current market prices (24 °C at 20.5 %, 25 °C at 24 %, 23 °C and 26 °C each near 20 %). Slight differences among leading outcomes reflect residual uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, exact wind speeds overnight, and the strength of the urban heat-island effect, all of which can shift the recorded low by 1–2 °C. With resolution less than 48 hours away and no major model shifts expected before then, the narrow clustering around 24–25 °C captures the consensus view of limited overnight cooling under continued anticyclonic conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题