Traders' overwhelming consensus on the Michael Jackson biopic grossing $50-55 million in its domestic second weekend stems from robust early weekend tracking, including a solid $14.4 million Friday despite a 63% drop from opening day and a strong $23 million Saturday signaling sub-30% overall decline from its record-shattering $97 million debut—the largest ever for a musical biopic. Fan-driven word-of-mouth is propelling holds amid poor critical reception, with global momentum surging past $400 million and a domestic cume nearing $150 million. Comparable biopic trajectories like Elvis support this stability, though an upset below $50 million could arise from softer Sunday walk-ups, competing releases like Devil Wears Prada 2, or adverse weather impacting theaters. Final tallies post-Monday will confirm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于“迈克尔”第二周末票房
“迈克尔”第二周末票房
5000万-5500万 100.0%
低于3500万 <1%
3500万-4000万 <1%
4000万-4500万 <1%
$169,020 交易量
$169,020 交易量
2026-05-04
低于3500万
否
3500万-4000万
否
4000万-4500万
否
4500万-5000万
否
5000万-5500万
是
>5500万
否
5000万-5500万 100.0%
低于3500万 <1%
3500万-4000万 <1%
4000万-4500万 <1%
$169,020 交易量
$169,020 交易量
2026-05-04
低于3500万
$14,977 交易量
否
3500万-4000万
$21,215 交易量
否
4000万-4500万
$9,114 交易量
否
4500万-5000万
$15,434 交易量
否
5000万-5500万
$51,295 交易量
是
>5500万
$56,984 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Traders' overwhelming consensus on the Michael Jackson biopic grossing $50-55 million in its domestic second weekend stems from robust early weekend tracking, including a solid $14.4 million Friday despite a 63% drop from opening day and a strong $23 million Saturday signaling sub-30% overall decline from its record-shattering $97 million debut—the largest ever for a musical biopic. Fan-driven word-of-mouth is propelling holds amid poor critical reception, with global momentum surging past $400 million and a domestic cume nearing $150 million. Comparable biopic trajectories like Elvis support this stability, though an upset below $50 million could arise from softer Sunday walk-ups, competing releases like Devil Wears Prada 2, or adverse weather impacting theaters. Final tallies post-Monday will confirm.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ET
交易量
$169,020结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Traders' overwhelming consensus on the Michael Jackson biopic grossing $50-55 million in its domestic second weekend stems from robust early weekend tracking, including a solid $14.4 million Friday despite a 63% drop from opening day and a strong $23 million Saturday signaling sub-30% overall decline from its record-shattering $97 million debut—the largest ever for a musical biopic. Fan-driven word-of-mouth is propelling holds amid poor critical reception, with global momentum surging past $400 million and a domestic cume nearing $150 million. Comparable biopic trajectories like Elvis support this stability, though an upset below $50 million could arise from softer Sunday walk-ups, competing releases like Devil Wears Prada 2, or adverse weather impacting theaters. Final tallies post-Monday will confirm.
This market will resolve according to how much "Michael" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (May 1 - May 3) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by May 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$169,020结束日期
2026-05-04市场开放时间
Apr 30, 2026, 11:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Traders' overwhelming consensus on the Michael Jackson biopic grossing $50-55 million in its domestic second weekend stems from robust early weekend tracking, including a solid $14.4 million Friday despite a 63% drop from opening day and a strong $23 million Saturday signaling sub-30% overall decline from its record-shattering $97 million debut—the largest ever for a musical biopic. Fan-driven word-of-mouth is propelling holds amid poor critical reception, with global momentum surging past $400 million and a domestic cume nearing $150 million. Comparable biopic trajectories like Elvis support this stability, though an upset below $50 million could arise from softer Sunday walk-ups, competing releases like Devil Wears Prada 2, or adverse weather impacting theaters. Final tallies post-Monday will confirm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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