Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes. He sustained reported severe facial and leg injuries in the same attack, requiring ongoing recovery that has kept him from any public appearances and limited communications to written statements. Regime institutions, including IRGC figures, prioritized rapid succession to maintain continuity amid active conflict and later ceasefire talks. Persistent questions about his health, mobility, and day-to-day authority have shaped trader focus on whether medical needs or shifting power dynamics could prompt travel outside Iran before resolution dates. No confirmed departures or official plans for treatment abroad have emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,867,027 交易量
6月30日
2%
$1,867,027 交易量
6月30日
2%
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts as Supreme Leader in early March 2026 following the February 28 assassination of his father, Ali Khamenei, during U.S.-Israeli strikes. He sustained reported severe facial and leg injuries in the same attack, requiring ongoing recovery that has kept him from any public appearances and limited communications to written statements. Regime institutions, including IRGC figures, prioritized rapid succession to maintain continuity amid active conflict and later ceasefire talks. Persistent questions about his health, mobility, and day-to-day authority have shaped trader focus on whether medical needs or shifting power dynamics could prompt travel outside Iran before resolution dates. No confirmed departures or official plans for treatment abroad have emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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