Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 as supreme leader following his father Ali Khamenei's assassination amid U.S.-Israeli strikes and ongoing regional conflict. His continued absence from public view, with statements issued only through state media or attributed channels, has sustained speculation about his location and capacity amid wartime security risks. U.S. intelligence reports describe him operating from undisclosed sites inside Iran with limited external access via couriers, while Russian diplomatic statements have placed him domestically. This opacity, combined with IRGC influence over succession, elite cohesion pressures, and active negotiations or hostilities, shapes trader assessments of any potential departure tied to personal safety, medical needs, or regime stability before key resolution windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2,057,993 交易量
2026-06-30
6月30日
1%
$2,057,993 交易量
6月30日
$647,762 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 as supreme leader following his father Ali Khamenei's assassination amid U.S.-Israeli strikes and ongoing regional conflict. His continued absence from public view, with statements issued only through state media or attributed channels, has sustained speculation about his location and capacity amid wartime security risks. U.S. intelligence reports describe him operating from undisclosed sites inside Iran with limited external access via couriers, while Russian diplomatic statements have placed him domestically. This opacity, combined with IRGC influence over succession, elite cohesion pressures, and active negotiations or hostilities, shapes trader assessments of any potential departure tied to personal safety, medical needs, or regime stability before key resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
交易量
$2,057,993结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 as supreme leader following his father Ali Khamenei's assassination amid U.S.-Israeli strikes and ongoing regional conflict. His continued absence from public view, with statements issued only through state media or attributed channels, has sustained speculation about his location and capacity amid wartime security risks. U.S. intelligence reports describe him operating from undisclosed sites inside Iran with limited external access via couriers, while Russian diplomatic statements have placed him domestically. This opacity, combined with IRGC influence over succession, elite cohesion pressures, and active negotiations or hostilities, shapes trader assessments of any potential departure tied to personal safety, medical needs, or regime stability before key resolution windows.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$2,057,993结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected by Iran's Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 as supreme leader following his father Ali Khamenei's assassination amid U.S.-Israeli strikes and ongoing regional conflict. His continued absence from public view, with statements issued only through state media or attributed channels, has sustained speculation about his location and capacity amid wartime security risks. U.S. intelligence reports describe him operating from undisclosed sites inside Iran with limited external access via couriers, while Russian diplomatic statements have placed him domestically. This opacity, combined with IRGC influence over succession, elite cohesion pressures, and active negotiations or hostilities, shapes trader assessments of any potential departure tied to personal safety, medical needs, or regime stability before key resolution windows.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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