Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran’s Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 following the February 28 killing of his father, Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has issued statements via state media but has made no verified public appearances, with U.S. intelligence assessing he remains in a secure undisclosed location inside Iran—possibly receiving treatment in Qom—reached only through couriers amid the ongoing conflict. Reports from April and May 2026 describe his health as compromised, limiting direct involvement in governance while Iranian negotiators navigate talks. These factors, combined with domestic divisions over the hereditary succession and external military pressure, shape trader focus on any potential departure for medical, security, or political reasons before scheduled resolution dates. No confirmed plans for international travel have emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,975,725 交易量
2026-06-30
6月30日
1%
$1,975,725 交易量
6月30日
$565,878 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran’s Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 following the February 28 killing of his father, Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has issued statements via state media but has made no verified public appearances, with U.S. intelligence assessing he remains in a secure undisclosed location inside Iran—possibly receiving treatment in Qom—reached only through couriers amid the ongoing conflict. Reports from April and May 2026 describe his health as compromised, limiting direct involvement in governance while Iranian negotiators navigate talks. These factors, combined with domestic divisions over the hereditary succession and external military pressure, shape trader focus on any potential departure for medical, security, or political reasons before scheduled resolution dates. No confirmed plans for international travel have emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ET
交易量
$1,975,725结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran’s Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 following the February 28 killing of his father, Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has issued statements via state media but has made no verified public appearances, with U.S. intelligence assessing he remains in a secure undisclosed location inside Iran—possibly receiving treatment in Qom—reached only through couriers amid the ongoing conflict. Reports from April and May 2026 describe his health as compromised, limiting direct involvement in governance while Iranian negotiators navigate talks. These factors, combined with domestic divisions over the hereditary succession and external military pressure, shape trader focus on any potential departure for medical, security, or political reasons before scheduled resolution dates. No confirmed plans for international travel have emerged.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei has left Iran for any length of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If it is not confirmed by the resolution date that Mojtaba Khamenei left Iran, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$1,975,725结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Mar 24, 2026, 4:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mojtaba Khamenei was selected as Iran’s Supreme Leader by the Assembly of Experts in early March 2026 following the February 28 killing of his father, Ali Khamenei, in U.S.-Israeli strikes that also injured Mojtaba. He has issued statements via state media but has made no verified public appearances, with U.S. intelligence assessing he remains in a secure undisclosed location inside Iran—possibly receiving treatment in Qom—reached only through couriers amid the ongoing conflict. Reports from April and May 2026 describe his health as compromised, limiting direct involvement in governance while Iranian negotiators navigate talks. These factors, combined with domestic divisions over the hereditary succession and external military pressure, shape trader focus on any potential departure for medical, security, or political reasons before scheduled resolution dates. No confirmed plans for international travel have emerged.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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