Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$420-$430 100.0%
低于$380 <1%
$380-$390 <1%
$390-$400 <1%
$5,668 交易量
$5,668 交易量
2026-04-24
低于$380
否
$380-$390
否
$390-$400
否
$400-$410
否
$410-$420
否
$420-$430
是
$430-$440
否
440-450美元
否
$450-$460
否
$460-$470
否
>470美元
否
$420-$430 100.0%
低于$380 <1%
$380-$390 <1%
$390-$400 <1%
$5,668 交易量
$5,668 交易量
2026-04-24
低于$380
$315 交易量
否
$380-$390
$317 交易量
否
$390-$400
$1,193 交易量
否
$400-$410
$67 交易量
否
$410-$420
$1,145 交易量
否
$420-$430
$1,751 交易量
是
$430-$440
$24 交易量
否
440-450美元
$209 交易量
否
$450-$460
$24 交易量
否
$460-$470
$356 交易量
否
>470美元
$266 交易量
否
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间： Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
交易量
$5,668结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Microsoft (MSFT) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Microsoft (MSFT) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history, published under "Historical Prices."
交易量
$5,668结束日期
2026-04-24市场开放时间
Apr 17, 2026, 6:02 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Microsoft (MSFT) share price closed Friday, April 24, at $424.62—firmly within the $420-$430 bin—cementing 100% market-implied probability on Polymarket as the week-of-April-20 resolution completes. This strong trader consensus, backed by real capital, reflects steady trading all week with intraday lows above $415 and closes ranging from $418.07 on April 20 to today's 2.13% gain amid broader market weakness and pre-earnings positioning for Q3 results on April 29 (consensus EPS $4.07). Absent major news catalysts over the past 48 hours, low volatility and historical stability support the lock-in; realistic challenges include after-hours surprises or regulatory filings, though significant barriers remain given resolution proximity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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