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icon for Myspace于2026年重新推出?

Myspace于2026年重新推出?

icon for Myspace于2026年重新推出?

Myspace于2026年重新推出?

21% 概率
Polymarket
最新

21% 概率
Polymarket
最新
On July 17, 2026, People reported that current Myspace owners Chris and Tim Vanderhook stated during their appearance in Tommy Avallone’s documentary Myspace that they plan to relaunch the platform. You can read more about that here: https://people.com/myspace-current-owners-explain-site-end-and-why-relaunches-havent-worked-12020148 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Myspace is relaunched between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying relaunch is defined as the launch of a materially new or substantially redesigned version of the Myspace platform or service that is officially presented as a relaunch, revival, return, comeback, or new version of Myspace by Myspace or its owners. The relaunch must be live and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The continued availability of the existing Myspace website, ordinary updates or redesigns to the existing platform, the restoration or addition of individual features, or an announcement of plans to relaunch Myspace will not alone qualify. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website (Myspace.com), an official Myspace subdomain, another official URL, an official mobile application or similar. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be the Myspace platform or service, as well as official information from Myspace and its owners, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Owners of Myspace have confirmed plans for a relaunch as an algorithm-free social platform emphasizing chronological feeds, customizable profiles, Top 8 lists, and profile songs, but no launch date, product details, or 2026 timeline has been set.** The Vanderhook brothers of Viant Technology made the announcement in a 2026 documentary, acknowledging a prior failed effort that lost over $150 million while noting they are “waiting for the right time.” As of late September 2026, the existing myspace.com site functions mainly as a music and nostalgia destination with limited social features and modest user growth, showing no signs of a full revival. Analysts highlight steep barriers including entrenched competition from algorithm-driven platforms, challenges rebuilding user networks, and uncertain advertiser interest. These factors underpin traders’ 79.5% implied probability that no meaningful relaunch will occur this year.

On July 17, 2026, People reported that current Myspace owners Chris and Tim Vanderhook stated during their appearance in Tommy Avallone’s documentary Myspace that they plan to relaunch the platform. You can read more about that here: https://people.com/myspace-current-owners-explain-site-end-and-why-relaunches-havent-worked-12020148

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Myspace is relaunched between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying relaunch is defined as the launch of a materially new or substantially redesigned version of the Myspace platform or service that is officially presented as a relaunch, revival, return, comeback, or new version of Myspace by Myspace or its owners.

The relaunch must be live and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The continued availability of the existing Myspace website, ordinary updates or redesigns to the existing platform, the restoration or addition of individual features, or an announcement of plans to relaunch Myspace will not alone qualify.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website (Myspace.com), an official Myspace subdomain, another official URL, an official mobile application or similar. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be the Myspace platform or service, as well as official information from Myspace and its owners, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On July 17, 2026, People reported that current Myspace owners Chris and Tim Vanderhook stated during their appearance in Tommy Avallone’s documentary Myspace that they plan to relaunch the platform. You can read more about that here: https://people.com/myspace-current-owners-explain-site-end-and-why-relaunches-havent-worked-12020148 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Myspace is relaunched between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying relaunch is defined as the launch of a materially new or substantially redesigned version of the Myspace platform or service that is officially presented as a relaunch, revival, return, comeback, or new version of Myspace by Myspace or its owners. The relaunch must be live and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The continued availability of the existing Myspace website, ordinary updates or redesigns to the existing platform, the restoration or addition of individual features, or an announcement of plans to relaunch Myspace will not alone qualify. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website (Myspace.com), an official Myspace subdomain, another official URL, an official mobile application or similar. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be the Myspace platform or service, as well as official information from Myspace and its owners, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$107
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 PM ET
On July 17, 2026, People reported that current Myspace owners Chris and Tim Vanderhook stated during their appearance in Tommy Avallone’s documentary Myspace that they plan to relaunch the platform. You can read more about that here: https://people.com/myspace-current-owners-explain-site-end-and-why-relaunches-havent-worked-12020148 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Myspace is relaunched between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying relaunch is defined as the launch of a materially new or substantially redesigned version of the Myspace platform or service that is officially presented as a relaunch, revival, return, comeback, or new version of Myspace by Myspace or its owners. The relaunch must be live and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The continued availability of the existing Myspace website, ordinary updates or redesigns to the existing platform, the restoration or addition of individual features, or an announcement of plans to relaunch Myspace will not alone qualify. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website (Myspace.com), an official Myspace subdomain, another official URL, an official mobile application or similar. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be the Myspace platform or service, as well as official information from Myspace and its owners, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**Owners of Myspace have confirmed plans for a relaunch as an algorithm-free social platform emphasizing chronological feeds, customizable profiles, Top 8 lists, and profile songs, but no launch date, product details, or 2026 timeline has been set.** The Vanderhook brothers of Viant Technology made the announcement in a 2026 documentary, acknowledging a prior failed effort that lost over $150 million while noting they are “waiting for the right time.” As of late September 2026, the existing myspace.com site functions mainly as a music and nostalgia destination with limited social features and modest user growth, showing no signs of a full revival. Analysts highlight steep barriers including entrenched competition from algorithm-driven platforms, challenges rebuilding user networks, and uncertain advertiser interest. These factors underpin traders’ 79.5% implied probability that no meaningful relaunch will occur this year.

On July 17, 2026, People reported that current Myspace owners Chris and Tim Vanderhook stated during their appearance in Tommy Avallone’s documentary Myspace that they plan to relaunch the platform. You can read more about that here: https://people.com/myspace-current-owners-explain-site-end-and-why-relaunches-havent-worked-12020148

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Myspace is relaunched between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A qualifying relaunch is defined as the launch of a materially new or substantially redesigned version of the Myspace platform or service that is officially presented as a relaunch, revival, return, comeback, or new version of Myspace by Myspace or its owners.

The relaunch must be live and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.

The continued availability of the existing Myspace website, ordinary updates or redesigns to the existing platform, the restoration or addition of individual features, or an announcement of plans to relaunch Myspace will not alone qualify.

The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website (Myspace.com), an official Myspace subdomain, another official URL, an official mobile application or similar. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source will be the Myspace platform or service, as well as official information from Myspace and its owners, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
On July 17, 2026, People reported that current Myspace owners Chris and Tim Vanderhook stated during their appearance in Tommy Avallone’s documentary Myspace that they plan to relaunch the platform. You can read more about that here: https://people.com/myspace-current-owners-explain-site-end-and-why-relaunches-havent-worked-12020148 This market will resolve to "Yes" if Myspace is relaunched between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying relaunch is defined as the launch of a materially new or substantially redesigned version of the Myspace platform or service that is officially presented as a relaunch, revival, return, comeback, or new version of Myspace by Myspace or its owners. The relaunch must be live and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The continued availability of the existing Myspace website, ordinary updates or redesigns to the existing platform, the restoration or addition of individual features, or an announcement of plans to relaunch Myspace will not alone qualify. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company’s official website (Myspace.com), an official Myspace subdomain, another official URL, an official mobile application or similar. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be the Myspace platform or service, as well as official information from Myspace and its owners, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$107
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Aug 5, 2026, 8:01 PM ET

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常见问题

"Myspace于2026年重新推出?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Myspace于2026年重新上线?",概率为 21%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 21¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 21%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"Myspace于2026年重新推出?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Aug 5, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"Myspace于2026年重新推出?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Myspace于2026年重新推出?"的当前领先者是"Myspace于2026年重新上线?",概率为 21%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 21%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Myspace于2026年重新推出?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。