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新的特朗普行政命令限制在3月31日之前投票?

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新的特朗普行政命令限制在3月31日之前投票?

31% chance
Polymarket
NEW

31% chance
Polymarket
NEW

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.

An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.

Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:

- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$232
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken. An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections. Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include: - Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts. - Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas. - Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken.

An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections.

Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include:

- Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts.
- Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas.
- Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$232
结束日期
Mar 31, 2026
市场开放时间
Feb 26, 2026, 4:08 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump issues an executive order, proclamation, memorandum, emergency declaration or other formal executive action which seeks to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Any formal executive action which seeks to achieve one of the listed goals will count, regardless of any legal or implementation challenges it may face after issuance. Mere statements from Donald Trump will not alone qualify; a formal executive action to enact policy must be taken. Executive actions which seek to accomplish a listed goal indirectly (e.g. withholding federal funding from states that do not implement a listed policy) will count, provided a formal executive action to enact policy is taken. An executive action will be considered to seek to mandate voter ID, ban mail-in voting, ban voting machines, or otherwise materially restrict voting methods or eligibility in US federal elections if it seeks to do so either nationally or in any limited context (such as in specific states, areas, or election contexts) for use in United States federal elections. Qualifying examples of potential executive actions include: - Executive actions seeking to mandate voter ID nationally, in specific areas of the United States, or only in certain contexts. - Executive actions seeking to ban mail-in voting broadly or in a limited context, including no-excuse mail-in voting, mandatory mail-in voting, or mail-in voting in certain states or areas. - Executive actions seeking to ban all voting machines or restricting the use of certain classes of voting machines or of voting machines in specific areas. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official text of the executive action taken; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"新的特朗普行政命令限制在3月31日之前投票?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"特朗普新行政命令将在3月31日前限制投票?",概率为 25%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 25¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 25%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

"新的特朗普行政命令限制在3月31日之前投票?"是 Polymarket 上新创建的市场,于Feb 26, 2026上线。作为一个新市场,这是你率先设定赔率并建立初始价格信号的机会。你也可以将本页加入书签,以便跟踪交易量和活动。

要在"新的特朗普行政命令限制在3月31日之前投票?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"新的特朗普行政命令限制在3月31日之前投票?"的当前领先者是"特朗普新行政命令将在3月31日前限制投票?",概率为 25%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 25%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"新的特朗普行政命令限制在3月31日之前投票?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。