Traders assign overwhelming probability to no U.S. acquisition of Greenland by the end of 2026 because Denmark and Greenland’s leaders have repeatedly rejected any sale or sovereignty transfer, while U.S. efforts have shifted toward security cooperation rather than outright purchase. After early 2026 threats of tariffs and force, President Trump reached a framework understanding with NATO allies focused on expanded basing rights, Arctic defense coordination, and potential veto authority over foreign investments to counter Russia and China. Ongoing trilateral talks have produced no agreement on territorial change, and any formal transfer would require Greenlandic self-determination processes, Danish approval, and a two-thirds Senate vote on a treaty. With only months remaining and entrenched opposition from Copenhagen and Nuuk, these procedural and diplomatic barriers sustain the current market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于是
3% 概率
$35,437,654 交易量
$35,437,654 交易量
2026-12-31
是
3% 概率
$35,437,654 交易量
$35,437,654 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign overwhelming probability to no U.S. acquisition of Greenland by the end of 2026 because Denmark and Greenland’s leaders have repeatedly rejected any sale or sovereignty transfer, while U.S. efforts have shifted toward security cooperation rather than outright purchase. After early 2026 threats of tariffs and force, President Trump reached a framework understanding with NATO allies focused on expanded basing rights, Arctic defense coordination, and potential veto authority over foreign investments to counter Russia and China. Ongoing trilateral talks have produced no agreement on territorial change, and any formal transfer would require Greenlandic self-determination processes, Danish approval, and a two-thirds Senate vote on a treaty. With only months remaining and entrenched opposition from Copenhagen and Nuuk, these procedural and diplomatic barriers sustain the current market consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
市场开放时间： Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ET
交易量
$35,437,654结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.Traders assign overwhelming probability to no U.S. acquisition of Greenland by the end of 2026 because Denmark and Greenland’s leaders have repeatedly rejected any sale or sovereignty transfer, while U.S. efforts have shifted toward security cooperation rather than outright purchase. After early 2026 threats of tariffs and force, President Trump reached a framework understanding with NATO allies focused on expanded basing rights, Arctic defense coordination, and potential veto authority over foreign investments to counter Russia and China. Ongoing trilateral talks have produced no agreement on territorial change, and any formal transfer would require Greenlandic self-determination processes, Danish approval, and a two-thirds Senate vote on a treaty. With only months remaining and entrenched opposition from Copenhagen and Nuuk, these procedural and diplomatic barriers sustain the current market consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially announces that Greenland will come under US sovereignty by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
Sovereignty is defined as the transfer of the majority of the territory of Greenland from its current status as an autonomous territory within the Kingdom of Denmark to being under the formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system.
An official announcement made by the United States and Denmark that Greenland will come under US sovereignty will qualify, even if the actual transfer of sovereignty is yet to occur. Only announcements of official agreements or actions (e.g. executive order, signed legislation, etc.) will count - mere posts on Social Media will not.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the US, Greenland, and Denmark, however a consensus of credible reporting confirming that Greenland has come under U.S. sovereignty will also qualify.
交易量
$35,437,654结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
Dec 22, 2025, 7:55 PM ETTraders assign overwhelming probability to no U.S. acquisition of Greenland by the end of 2026 because Denmark and Greenland’s leaders have repeatedly rejected any sale or sovereignty transfer, while U.S. efforts have shifted toward security cooperation rather than outright purchase. After early 2026 threats of tariffs and force, President Trump reached a framework understanding with NATO allies focused on expanded basing rights, Arctic defense coordination, and potential veto authority over foreign investments to counter Russia and China. Ongoing trilateral talks have produced no agreement on territorial change, and any formal transfer would require Greenlandic self-determination processes, Danish approval, and a two-thirds Senate vote on a treaty. With only months remaining and entrenched opposition from Copenhagen and Nuuk, these procedural and diplomatic barriers sustain the current market consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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