Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, with a trial scheduled for June 1, 2027, and an upcoming hearing on November 17, 2026. Venezuelan acting President Delcy Rodríguez has publicly demanded his release through diplomatic channels amid U.S.-Venezuela oil agreements and prisoner amnesty discussions, yet no procedural developments have altered his detention status. Court filings on immunity claims and health-related release requests for his wife continue without resolution, while trader consensus on near-term release reflects the extended federal prosecution timeline and absence of executive or diplomatic breakthroughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2,689,487 交易量
12月31日
7%
$2,689,487 交易量
12月31日
7%
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 3, 2026 capture by American forces during a military operation in Caracas. He and his wife face narco-terrorism, cocaine importation, and weapons charges in the Southern District of New York, with a trial scheduled for June 1, 2027, and an upcoming hearing on November 17, 2026. Venezuelan acting President Delcy Rodríguez has publicly demanded his release through diplomatic channels amid U.S.-Venezuela oil agreements and prisoner amnesty discussions, yet no procedural developments have altered his detention status. Court filings on immunity claims and health-related release requests for his wife continue without resolution, while trader consensus on near-term release reflects the extended federal prosecution timeline and absence of executive or diplomatic breakthroughs.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于


警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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