Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by American forces during a raid in Caracas. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. Recent defense filings seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds and request house arrest for Flores citing health concerns, while both continue to deny the allegations. Trader consensus reflects the extended pretrial timeline, limited prospects for bail in high-profile federal cases, and absence of diplomatic or judicial developments that would accelerate release. Key upcoming factors include November 2026 hearings on jurisdictional motions and ongoing U.S.-Venezuela talks under interim leadership in Caracas, though these have not yet altered custody status.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$2,689,498 交易量
2026-01-30
12月31日
7%
$2,689,498 交易量
12月31日
$294,049 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by American forces during a raid in Caracas. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. Recent defense filings seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds and request house arrest for Flores citing health concerns, while both continue to deny the allegations. Trader consensus reflects the extended pretrial timeline, limited prospects for bail in high-profile federal cases, and absence of diplomatic or judicial developments that would accelerate release. Key upcoming factors include November 2026 hearings on jurisdictional motions and ongoing U.S.-Venezuela talks under interim leadership in Caracas, though these have not yet altered custody status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
交易量
$2,689,498结束日期
2026-01-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by American forces during a raid in Caracas. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. Recent defense filings seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds and request house arrest for Flores citing health concerns, while both continue to deny the allegations. Trader consensus reflects the extended pretrial timeline, limited prospects for bail in high-profile federal cases, and absence of diplomatic or judicial developments that would accelerate release. Key upcoming factors include November 2026 hearings on jurisdictional motions and ongoing U.S.-Venezuela talks under interim leadership in Caracas, though these have not yet altered custody status.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Nicolás Maduro is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Nicolás Maduro is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Nicolás Maduro is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Nicolás Maduro to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$2,689,498结束日期
2026-01-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 10:24 AM ETNicolás Maduro has remained in U.S. federal custody at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn since his January 2026 capture by American forces during a raid in Caracas. He and his wife, Cilia Flores, face narco-terrorism and drug trafficking charges, with a trial scheduled for June 2027. Recent defense filings seek dismissal on sovereign immunity grounds and request house arrest for Flores citing health concerns, while both continue to deny the allegations. Trader consensus reflects the extended pretrial timeline, limited prospects for bail in high-profile federal cases, and absence of diplomatic or judicial developments that would accelerate release. Key upcoming factors include November 2026 hearings on jurisdictional motions and ongoing U.S.-Venezuela talks under interim leadership in Caracas, though these have not yet altered custody status.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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