US federal authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and transferred them to custody in New York on drug trafficking and related charges. Both entered not guilty pleas, with defense counsel signaling plans to seek dismissal on immunity grounds. A July 22, 2026, hearing set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, and they have not sought bail while remaining at the Metropolitan Detention Center. The extended pre-trial schedule, including a November 17, 2026, motions hearing, combined with the absence of reported plea discussions or diplomatic interventions, shapes trader assessments of release timing under standard federal detention practices for such cases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$1,375,008 交易量
2026-01-30
12月31日
16%
$1,375,008 交易量
12月31日
$328,407 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and transferred them to custody in New York on drug trafficking and related charges. Both entered not guilty pleas, with defense counsel signaling plans to seek dismissal on immunity grounds. A July 22, 2026, hearing set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, and they have not sought bail while remaining at the Metropolitan Detention Center. The extended pre-trial schedule, including a November 17, 2026, motions hearing, combined with the absence of reported plea discussions or diplomatic interventions, shapes trader assessments of release timing under standard federal detention practices for such cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
交易量
$1,375,008结束日期
2026-01-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US federal authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and transferred them to custody in New York on drug trafficking and related charges. Both entered not guilty pleas, with defense counsel signaling plans to seek dismissal on immunity grounds. A July 22, 2026, hearing set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, and they have not sought bail while remaining at the Metropolitan Detention Center. The extended pre-trial schedule, including a November 17, 2026, motions hearing, combined with the absence of reported plea discussions or diplomatic interventions, shapes trader assessments of release timing under standard federal detention practices for such cases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$1,375,008结束日期
2026-01-31市场开放时间
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US federal authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and transferred them to custody in New York on drug trafficking and related charges. Both entered not guilty pleas, with defense counsel signaling plans to seek dismissal on immunity grounds. A July 22, 2026, hearing set their joint trial for June 1, 2027, and they have not sought bail while remaining at the Metropolitan Detention Center. The extended pre-trial schedule, including a November 17, 2026, motions hearing, combined with the absence of reported plea discussions or diplomatic interventions, shapes trader assessments of release timing under standard federal detention practices for such cases.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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