North Korean state media and South Korean military detections confirm a ballistic missile launch on April 19 from near Sinpo toward eastern waters, the latest in a series of tests this month—including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 7-8 and cruise/anti-ship missiles from the Choe Hyon destroyer on April 12—driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a missile test by April 30. Pyongyang's accelerated testing pace under Kim Jong Un, amid regional tensions and joint U.S.-South Korea drills, reflects routine demonstrations of military capability in violation of UN resolutions. While resolution awaits official verification per market criteria, scenarios like disputed launch classification or technical failure claims are improbable given precedents and multi-nation confirmations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于>99% 概率
$87,801 交易量
$87,801 交易量
2026-04-29
>99% 概率
$87,801 交易量
$87,801 交易量
2026-04-29
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korean state media and South Korean military detections confirm a ballistic missile launch on April 19 from near Sinpo toward eastern waters, the latest in a series of tests this month—including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 7-8 and cruise/anti-ship missiles from the Choe Hyon destroyer on April 12—driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a missile test by April 30. Pyongyang's accelerated testing pace under Kim Jong Un, amid regional tensions and joint U.S.-South Korea drills, reflects routine demonstrations of military capability in violation of UN resolutions. While resolution awaits official verification per market criteria, scenarios like disputed launch classification or technical failure claims are improbable given precedents and multi-nation confirmations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
市场开放时间： Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
交易量
$87,801结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.North Korean state media and South Korean military detections confirm a ballistic missile launch on April 19 from near Sinpo toward eastern waters, the latest in a series of tests this month—including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 7-8 and cruise/anti-ship missiles from the Choe Hyon destroyer on April 12—driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a missile test by April 30. Pyongyang's accelerated testing pace under Kim Jong Un, amid regional tensions and joint U.S.-South Korea drills, reflects routine demonstrations of military capability in violation of UN resolutions. While resolution awaits official verification per market criteria, scenarios like disputed launch classification or technical failure claims are improbable given precedents and multi-nation confirmations.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if North Korea (DPRK) launches a missile between market creation and the specified date ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
Only launches of ballistic missiles, cruise missiles, and anti-ship missiles will qualify toward a “Yes” resolution.
Launches of other systems such as SAMs, MLRS/rocket artillery, torpedoes, etc., will not qualify toward a "Yes" resolution.
The market resolution will be based on publicly available information from reliable sources such as official government statements, reports from international monitoring bodies like the United Nations, or reports from reputable international media.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-04-30市场开放时间
Apr 14, 2026, 5:06 PM ET已提议结果: Yes
无争议
最终结果: Yes
North Korean state media and South Korean military detections confirm a ballistic missile launch on April 19 from near Sinpo toward eastern waters, the latest in a series of tests this month—including multiple short-range ballistic missiles on April 7-8 and cruise/anti-ship missiles from the Choe Hyon destroyer on April 12—driving trader consensus to 100% "Yes" for a missile test by April 30. Pyongyang's accelerated testing pace under Kim Jong Un, amid regional tensions and joint U.S.-South Korea drills, reflects routine demonstrations of military capability in violation of UN resolutions. While resolution awaits official verification per market criteria, scenarios like disputed launch classification or technical failure claims are improbable given precedents and multi-nation confirmations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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