Strong spring break travel demand has anchored trader consensus for TSA passenger screenings at 18-18.5 million for March 23-29, with implied probabilities tightly bunched at 40.5% for that bin, 38.5% for 17.5-18 million, and 37.5% for 18.5-19 million, reflecting partial daily data showing mid-week peaks near 2.9 million on March 25 amid favorable weather and ample airline capacity. This keeps the race close as weekend surges on March 23 and 30-31 Easter travel could boost totals above 18.5 million, while any economic softening or disruptions like delays might pull toward 17.5 million; final March 29 figures, due soon, will likely create separation by confirming holiday momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于18-18.5m 39%
17.5-18m 39%
18.5-19m 38%
<17.5m 36%
$17,378 交易量
$17,378 交易量
<17.5m
36%
17.5-18m
39%
18-18.5m
39%
18.5-19m
38%
19-19.5m
26%
>19.5m
26%
18-18.5m 39%
17.5-18m 39%
18.5-19m 38%
<17.5m 36%
$17,378 交易量
$17,378 交易量
<17.5m
36%
17.5-18m
39%
18-18.5m
39%
18.5-19m
38%
19-19.5m
26%
>19.5m
26%
The total number of TSA passengers will be calculated by summing all of the TSA daily checkpoint throughputs reported for this date range (e.g. if there were a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 2 million reported on December 1 and a daily TSA checkpoint throughput of 3 million reported on December 2, the total number of TSA passengers for December 1-2 would be 5 million).
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for all dates within the listed range. Any revisions published to data for dates December 8, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for any of the dates from March 23, 2026 to March 29, 2026 by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 1:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Strong spring break travel demand has anchored trader consensus for TSA passenger screenings at 18-18.5 million for March 23-29, with implied probabilities tightly bunched at 40.5% for that bin, 38.5% for 17.5-18 million, and 37.5% for 18.5-19 million, reflecting partial daily data showing mid-week peaks near 2.9 million on March 25 amid favorable weather and ample airline capacity. This keeps the race close as weekend surges on March 23 and 30-31 Easter travel could boost totals above 18.5 million, while any economic softening or disruptions like delays might pull toward 17.5 million; final March 29 figures, due soon, will likely create separation by confirming holiday momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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