NVIDIA shares have traded near multi-week highs ahead of the May 20 fiscal first-quarter earnings release, where consensus revenue estimates cluster near $78 billion and reflect continued data-center strength. Recent analyst actions, including Bank of America’s upgrade to a $320 price target, and regulatory clearances for H200 shipments to major Chinese customers have reinforced bullish positioning, yet traders remain divided on whether the results will exceed already elevated expectations or trigger profit-taking. The closely matched probabilities across the $215–$260 range reflect uncertainty over post-earnings volatility, potential commentary on Blackwell and Rubin ramps, and broader AI capital-expenditure trends. With resolution occurring just days after the report, market-implied odds price in both a favorable beat-and-raise scenario and the risk of tempered forward guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$215-$220 37%
$250-$255 37%
$220-$225 37%
$225-$230 37%
<$215
29%
$215-$220
37%
$220-$225
37%
$225-$230
37%
$230-$235
34%
$235-$240
36%
$240-$245
34%
$245-$250
33%
$250-$255
37%
$255-$260
34%
>$260
35%
$215-$220 37%
$250-$255 37%
$220-$225 37%
$225-$230 37%
<$215
29%
$215-$220
37%
$220-$225
37%
$225-$230
37%
$230-$235
34%
$235-$240
36%
$240-$245
34%
$245-$250
33%
$250-$255
37%
$255-$260
34%
>$260
35%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间: May 15, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
NVIDIA shares have traded near multi-week highs ahead of the May 20 fiscal first-quarter earnings release, where consensus revenue estimates cluster near $78 billion and reflect continued data-center strength. Recent analyst actions, including Bank of America’s upgrade to a $320 price target, and regulatory clearances for H200 shipments to major Chinese customers have reinforced bullish positioning, yet traders remain divided on whether the results will exceed already elevated expectations or trigger profit-taking. The closely matched probabilities across the $215–$260 range reflect uncertainty over post-earnings volatility, potential commentary on Blackwell and Rubin ramps, and broader AI capital-expenditure trends. With resolution occurring just days after the report, market-implied odds price in both a favorable beat-and-raise scenario and the risk of tempered forward guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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