Market icon

第1周下一个MrBeast视频的浏览量？ （较小的Strikes ）

Market icon

第1周下一个MrBeast视频的浏览量？ （较小的Strikes ）

Mar 28

Mar 31

Mar 28

Mar 31

8100-8200 万 53%

8000万-8100万 25%

8200万-8300万 16%

8300万-8400万 6%

Polymarket
NEW

$19,855 交易量

8100-8200 万 53%

8000万-8100万 25%

8200万-8300万 16%

8300万-8400万 6%

Polymarket
NEW

$19,855 交易量

低于7900万

$774 交易量

1%

7900万-8000万

$2,160 交易量

5%

8000万-8100万

$584 交易量

25%

8100-8200 万

$321 交易量

45%

8200万-8300万

$12,168 交易量

16%

8300万-8400万

$729 交易量

6%

8400万+

$3,139 交易量

2%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs MrBeast's next main-channel YouTube video at 81-82 million first-week views (45.5% implied probability), closely trailed by 80-81M (27.5%), reflecting the YouTube creator's recent performance trajectory amid 380 million subscribers. His September 21 release, "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!", amassed approximately 82 million views in week 1, aligning with the prior two videos averaging 79-84M debuts despite YouTube algorithm tweaks and rising competition from short-form content. A teaser dropped on X yesterday sparked 12 million impressions, sustaining momentum, while historical patterns show thumbnail optimization and challenge scale driving 80M+ floors. Watch for the weekend upload and initial 24-hour surge, key to breaking higher bins before week 1 locks.

Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs MrBeast's next main-channel YouTube video at 81-82 million first-week views (45.5% implied probability), closely trailed by 80-81M (27.5%), reflecting the YouTube creator's recent performance trajectory amid 380 million subscribers. His September 21 release, "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!", amassed approximately 82 million views in week 1, aligning with the prior two videos averaging 79-84M debuts despite YouTube algorithm tweaks and rising competition from short-form content. A teaser dropped on X yesterday sparked 12 million impressions, sustaining momentum, while historical patterns show thumbnail optimization and challenge scale driving 80M+ floors. Watch for the weekend upload and initial 24-hour surge, key to breaking higher bins before week 1 locks.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve according to the number of views the latest YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 7 days after being posted. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to the video titled "Trapped On An Island Until I Build A Boat", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JFtlf8RoPZY. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered. Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs MrBeast's next main-channel YouTube video at 81-82 million first-week views (45.5% implied probability), closely trailed by 80-81M (27.5%), reflecting the YouTube creator's recent performance trajectory amid 380 million subscribers. His September 21 release, "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!", amassed approximately 82 million views in week 1, aligning with the prior two videos averaging 79-84M debuts despite YouTube algorithm tweaks and rising competition from short-form content. A teaser dropped on X yesterday sparked 12 million impressions, sustaining momentum, while historical patterns show thumbnail optimization and challenge scale driving 80M+ floors. Watch for the weekend upload and initial 24-hour surge, key to breaking higher bins before week 1 locks.

Trader consensus on Polymarket pegs MrBeast's next main-channel YouTube video at 81-82 million first-week views (45.5% implied probability), closely trailed by 80-81M (27.5%), reflecting the YouTube creator's recent performance trajectory amid 380 million subscribers. His September 21 release, "Lose 100 LBs, Win $250,000!", amassed approximately 82 million views in week 1, aligning with the prior two videos averaging 79-84M debuts despite YouTube algorithm tweaks and rising competition from short-form content. A teaser dropped on X yesterday sparked 12 million impressions, sustaining momentum, while historical patterns show thumbnail optimization and challenge scale driving 80M+ floors. Watch for the weekend upload and initial 24-hour surge, key to breaking higher bins before week 1 locks.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"第1周下一个MrBeast视频的浏览量？ （较小的Strikes ）"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"8100-8200 万"，概率为 46%，其次是"8000万-8100万"，概率为 25%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 46¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 46%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"第1周下一个MrBeast视频的浏览量？ （较小的Strikes ）"已产生 $19.9K 的总交易量（自Mar 27, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"第1周下一个MrBeast视频的浏览量？ （较小的Strikes ）"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"第1周下一个MrBeast视频的浏览量？ （较小的Strikes ）"的当前领先者是"8100-8200 万"，概率为 46%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 46%。紧随其后的结果是"8000万-8100万"，概率为 25%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"第1周下一个MrBeast视频的浏览量？ （较小的Strikes ）"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。