Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily clusters around Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 23 in the $3.00-$7.00 range, with $3-$4, $4-$5, $5-$6, and $6-$7 bins each at 49% implied probabilities, signaling intense competition driven by housing market stabilization and Fed policy anticipation. Recent Q4 earnings delivered $1.15 billion in revenue—beating estimates—and narrowed net losses to $52 million, bolstering mid-range sentiment, while persistent high mortgage rates above 6.5% cap explosive upside, differentiating $5+ outcomes on potential March 20 FOMC rate cut signals. Key thresholds include $4.50 resistance for $5-$6 breakout versus $3.20 support near the 50-day moving average; upcoming March home sales data on March 21 could sway trader capital toward higher bins if inventory rises.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$3.00-$4.00 98%
$4.00-$5.00 98%
$5.00-$6.00 98%
$6.00-$7.00 98%
低于1.00美元
80%
$1.00-$2.00
79%
$2.00-$3.00
97%
$3.00-$4.00
98%
$4.00-$5.00
98%
$5.00-$6.00
98%
$6.00-$7.00
98%
7.00美元-8.00美元
80%
$8.00-$9.00
80%
$9.00-$10
80%
>10美元
80%
$3.00-$4.00 98%
$4.00-$5.00 98%
$5.00-$6.00 98%
$6.00-$7.00 98%
低于1.00美元
80%
$1.00-$2.00
79%
$2.00-$3.00
97%
$3.00-$4.00
98%
$4.00-$5.00
98%
$5.00-$6.00
98%
$6.00-$7.00
98%
7.00美元-8.00美元
80%
$8.00-$9.00
80%
$9.00-$10
80%
>10美元
80%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Opendoor (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
市场开放时间: Mar 20, 2026, 6:04 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily clusters around Opendoor (OPEN) closing the week of March 23 in the $3.00-$7.00 range, with $3-$4, $4-$5, $5-$6, and $6-$7 bins each at 49% implied probabilities, signaling intense competition driven by housing market stabilization and Fed policy anticipation. Recent Q4 earnings delivered $1.15 billion in revenue—beating estimates—and narrowed net losses to $52 million, bolstering mid-range sentiment, while persistent high mortgage rates above 6.5% cap explosive upside, differentiating $5+ outcomes on potential March 20 FOMC rate cut signals. Key thresholds include $4.50 resistance for $5-$6 breakout versus $3.20 support near the 50-day moving average; upcoming March home sales data on March 21 could sway trader capital toward higher bins if inventory rises.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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