Aaron Judge's rib stress fracture and extended absence have reshaped the 2026 AL MVP race, elevating Yordan Alvarez to the top of trader consensus at 41.3% implied probability. The Astros designated hitter leads the league in home runs, RBIs, and OPS while posting elite Statcast marks that underscore his power and plate discipline. Bobby Witt Jr. sits second at 23.5%, buoyed by strong WAR totals, consistent contact, and speed at shortstop for the Royals. Ben Rice and Nick Kurtz trail as value options amid the Yankees and Athletics' lineups, while lower-probability names like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Julio Rodriguez reflect solid but less dominant recent form. Market pricing captures Alvarez's statistical edge and the uncertainty around Judge's return timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于尤尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯 41.3%
鲍比·威特二世 22%
本·赖斯 10.1%
尼克·库尔茨 10.0%
$121,223 交易量
$121,223 交易量
尤尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯
41%
鲍比·威特二世
22%
本·赖斯
9%
尼克·库尔茨
10%
弗拉基米尔·格雷罗二世
3%
胡利奥·罗德里格斯
2%
何塞·拉米雷斯
1%
卡尔·劳利
1%
冈纳尔·亨德森
1%
亚伦·贾奇
1%
迈克·特劳特
1%
科里·西格
<1%
尤尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯 41.3%
鲍比·威特二世 22%
本·赖斯 10.1%
尼克·库尔茨 10.0%
$121,223 交易量
$121,223 交易量
尤尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯
41%
鲍比·威特二世
22%
本·赖斯
9%
尼克·库尔茨
10%
弗拉基米尔·格雷罗二世
3%
胡利奥·罗德里格斯
2%
何塞·拉米雷斯
1%
卡尔·劳利
1%
冈纳尔·亨德森
1%
亚伦·贾奇
1%
迈克·特劳特
1%
科里·西格
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge's rib stress fracture and extended absence have reshaped the 2026 AL MVP race, elevating Yordan Alvarez to the top of trader consensus at 41.3% implied probability. The Astros designated hitter leads the league in home runs, RBIs, and OPS while posting elite Statcast marks that underscore his power and plate discipline. Bobby Witt Jr. sits second at 23.5%, buoyed by strong WAR totals, consistent contact, and speed at shortstop for the Royals. Ben Rice and Nick Kurtz trail as value options amid the Yankees and Athletics' lineups, while lower-probability names like Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Julio Rodriguez reflect solid but less dominant recent form. Market pricing captures Alvarez's statistical edge and the uncertainty around Judge's return timeline.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题