Aaron Judge's rib stress fracture, sidelining the Yankees slugger for weeks and dropping his implied probability sharply, has tightened the AL MVP race among remaining contenders. Bobby Witt Jr. holds the narrowest edge through elite shortstop defense, 20-plus stolen bases, and consistent contact that bolsters Royals contention, while Yordan Alvarez trails closely on the strength of a .300-plus average, 20 home runs, and top-tier RBIs for the Astros. Ben Rice and Nick Kurtz have surged on breakout production and team needs, keeping the top four bunched within roughly 20 points of implied probability. This distribution mirrors the crowded field of viable candidates still separated by modest statistical margins midway through the season.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于鲍比·威特二世 35%
尤尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯 30.2%
本·赖斯 15.9%
尼克·库尔茨 7.9%
$118,261 交易量
$118,261 交易量
鲍比·威特二世
35%
尤尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯
30%
本·赖斯
16%
尼克·库尔茨
12%
何塞·拉米雷斯
4%
亚伦·贾奇
3%
弗拉基米尔·格雷罗二世
2%
胡利奥·罗德里格斯
2%
迈克·特劳特
1%
卡尔·劳利
1%
科里·西格
1%
冈纳尔·亨德森
1%
鲍比·威特二世 35%
尤尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯 30.2%
本·赖斯 15.9%
尼克·库尔茨 7.9%
$118,261 交易量
$118,261 交易量
鲍比·威特二世
35%
尤尔丹·阿尔瓦雷斯
30%
本·赖斯
16%
尼克·库尔茨
12%
何塞·拉米雷斯
4%
亚伦·贾奇
3%
弗拉基米尔·格雷罗二世
2%
胡利奥·罗德里格斯
2%
迈克·特劳特
1%
卡尔·劳利
1%
科里·西格
1%
冈纳尔·亨德森
1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间: Feb 18, 2026, 10:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge's rib stress fracture, sidelining the Yankees slugger for weeks and dropping his implied probability sharply, has tightened the AL MVP race among remaining contenders. Bobby Witt Jr. holds the narrowest edge through elite shortstop defense, 20-plus stolen bases, and consistent contact that bolsters Royals contention, while Yordan Alvarez trails closely on the strength of a .300-plus average, 20 home runs, and top-tier RBIs for the Astros. Ben Rice and Nick Kurtz have surged on breakout production and team needs, keeping the top four bunched within roughly 20 points of implied probability. This distribution mirrors the crowded field of viable candidates still separated by modest statistical margins midway through the season.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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