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icon for 罗马尼亚议会被...解散?

罗马尼亚议会被...解散?

icon for 罗马尼亚议会被...解散?

罗马尼亚议会被...解散?

$112,267 交易量

2026-12-31
Polymarket

$112,267 交易量

Polymarket

December 31

$5 交易量

29%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. **Romania's ongoing government formation crisis, triggered by the May 5, 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan’s PNL-led coalition with PSD support, has left the country under a caretaker administration for over four months.** President Nicușor Dan’s two prior designations—Eugen Tomac, who withdrew before a vote, and Adrian Veștea, whose cabinet was rejected on June 22 with only 189 supporting votes—failed to secure the required 233-vote majority. The 60-day constitutional window from the first investiture attempt has elapsed, but a second rejection is still needed to open the formal path to dissolution under Article 89. On September 17, Dan began fresh consultations with parliamentary groups to name a third prime minister candidate, amid reports of fragmented positions and no clear majority. AUR has pushed for early elections, while centrist parties explore limited agreements to avoid them. Dan has signaled openness to snap elections if talks collapse, though dissolution remains discretionary rather than automatic. Traders are watching whether the next designation reaches and passes a parliamentary vote or triggers the conditions for the president to dissolve parliament and schedule elections, potentially in early 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$112,267
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. **Romania's ongoing government formation crisis, triggered by the May 5, 2026 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan’s PNL-led coalition with PSD support, has left the country under a caretaker administration for over four months.** President Nicușor Dan’s two prior designations—Eugen Tomac, who withdrew before a vote, and Adrian Veștea, whose cabinet was rejected on June 22 with only 189 supporting votes—failed to secure the required 233-vote majority. The 60-day constitutional window from the first investiture attempt has elapsed, but a second rejection is still needed to open the formal path to dissolution under Article 89. On September 17, Dan began fresh consultations with parliamentary groups to name a third prime minister candidate, amid reports of fragmented positions and no clear majority. AUR has pushed for early elections, while centrist parties explore limited agreements to avoid them. Dan has signaled openness to snap elections if talks collapse, though dissolution remains discretionary rather than automatic. Traders are watching whether the next designation reaches and passes a parliamentary vote or triggers the conditions for the president to dissolve parliament and schedule elections, potentially in early 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
交易量
$112,267
结束日期
2027-01-01
市场开放时间
Jun 23, 2026, 8:56 PM ET

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"罗马尼亚议会被...解散?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 3 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"December 31",概率为 28%,其次是"罗马尼亚议会将在7月31日前解散吗?",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 28¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 28%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"罗马尼亚议会被...解散?"已产生 $112.3K 的总交易量(自May 4, 2026市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"罗马尼亚议会被...解散?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 3 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"罗马尼亚议会被...解散?"的当前领先者是"December 31",概率为 28%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 28%。紧随其后的结果是"罗马尼亚议会将在7月31日前解散吗?",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"罗马尼亚议会被...解散?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。