SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $147.95 on September 4 amid post-IPO volatility, with the stock trading near 100x trailing revenue despite 92% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 to $7.81 billion. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 47.5–50% probabilities across the $155–165 bands centers on near-term catalysts including Starlink subscriber expansion, AI infrastructure commitments, and analyst price targets averaging $222. Key swing factors for the week of September 7 include the September 9 lock-up tranche releasing roughly 319 million shares, ongoing capital expenditure intensity exceeding 200% of quarterly revenue, and broader market sentiment toward high-growth aerospace and connectivity names. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty around execution risks and potential index-related flows while pricing in continued revenue momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于>170美元 50%
$155-$160 50%
$165-$170 50%
$130-$135 48%
低于125美元
47%
$125-$130
47%
$130-$135
48%
$135-$140
47%
$140-$145
47%
$145-$150
48%
$150-$155
47%
$155-$160
50%
$160-$165
47%
$165-$170
50%
>170美元
50%
>170美元 50%
$155-$160 50%
$165-$170 50%
$130-$135 48%
低于125美元
47%
$125-$130
47%
$130-$135
48%
$135-$140
47%
$140-$145
47%
$145-$150
48%
$150-$155
47%
$155-$160
50%
$160-$165
47%
$165-$170
50%
>170美元
50%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
市场开放时间: Sep 4, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
SpaceX (SPCX) shares closed at $147.95 on September 4 amid post-IPO volatility, with the stock trading near 100x trailing revenue despite 92% year-over-year revenue growth in Q2 to $7.81 billion. Trader consensus reflected in the tight 47.5–50% probabilities across the $155–165 bands centers on near-term catalysts including Starlink subscriber expansion, AI infrastructure commitments, and analyst price targets averaging $222. Key swing factors for the week of September 7 include the September 9 lock-up tranche releasing roughly 319 million shares, ongoing capital expenditure intensity exceeding 200% of quarterly revenue, and broader market sentiment toward high-growth aerospace and connectivity names. Market-implied odds embed uncertainty around execution risks and potential index-related flows while pricing in continued revenue momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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